|

GBP/USD: Market turns indecisive near 1.30 ahead of Second Reading of Brexit bill

  • Monday's Doji candle indicates the GBP/USD market has turned indecisive. 
  • A close below Monday's low of 1.2874 would imply a bearish reversal. 
  • The focus today is on the Brexit bill's second reading. 

The GBP/USD market has turned indecisive near the crucial psychological resistance of 1.30 amid the lingering Brexit uncertainty. 

The currency pair carved out a Doji candle on Monday, which comprises of long wicks, representing two-way business and a small body.

That candle is considered a sign of indecision in the marketplace. In this case, however, the candle has appeared following a near 90-degree rally from 1.22 and represents bullish exhaustion. 

Hence, today's close is pivotal. A bearish reversal would be confirmed if the pair finds acceptance below Monday's low of 1.2874. On the other hand, a close above Monday's high of 1.3012 would imply a continuation of the recent rally. 

Focus on the second reading of Brexit bill

The 115-page Brexit bill published by the UK government on Monday will get its second reading in the House of Commons on Tuesday.

MPs will debate and vote on the bill, which the government must win to proceed to the next stage of legislation. This vote is expected at 1800 GMT, according to Reuters News. 

The government believes it has a majority to pass this stage even though the opposition Labour Party and other rival parties are expected to oppose it.

The government then has to layout the timetable for the remaining stages of the legislation, which needs approval from lawmakers. 

If parliament does not agree to the timetable, Prime Minister Johnson's plans to leave on Oct. 31 could be derailed. That could yield a bearish daily close in GBP/USD. 

Apart from Brexit-related news, the GBP/USD pair may also take cues from UK's Public Sector Net Borrowing (Sep) scheduled for release at 08:30 GMT and CBI Industrial Trends Survey – orders due for release at 10:00 GMT. 

Daily chart

Technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2976
Today Daily Change0.0018
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open1.2958
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2493
Daily SMA501.2359
Daily SMA1001.2424
Daily SMA2001.2716
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3013
Previous Daily Low1.2875
Previous Weekly High1.299
Previous Weekly Low1.2515
Previous Monthly High1.2583
Previous Monthly Low1.1958
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.296
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2928
Daily Pivot Point S11.2884
Daily Pivot Point S21.281
Daily Pivot Point S31.2746
Daily Pivot Point R11.3023
Daily Pivot Point R21.3087
Daily Pivot Point R31.3161

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.