|

GBP/USD is subdued around 1.2200 after printing a four-week high

  • US Consumer Sentiment improved, while inflation expectations edged lower.
  • UK’s GDP for the fourth quarter contracted and flashed a gloomy economic outlook.
  • GBP/USD traders are eyeing UK CPI, Retail Sales, and US Retail Sales data.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) slid slightly vs. the US Dollar (USD) Friday, following the release of the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment for January in the US, which exceeded estimates, while the poll showed that inflation expectations for one-year were downward revised. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2204 after hitting a daily low of 1.2150.

GBP/USD range-bound awaiting next week’s data

The GBP/USD languished late in the European session/early New York session after printing a four-week high. Data released on Thursday flashed that inflation in the United States (US) is indeed cooling down. With December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropping beneath 7% and core CPI below 6%, spurring hopes that the US Federal Reserve would shift to lower-sized rate hikes, in the amount of 25 bps.

Later, the University of Michigan (UoM) revealed that Consumer sentiment for January was better than expected, with the reading hitting 64.6 vs. forecasts of 60.5. Americans estimate inflation for one year would edge to 4%, from December’s 4.4%, while estimates for five years uptick to 3%, from 2.9%.

In the UK, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on a monthly basis beat estimates, rising by 0.1%, while for a three-month changed was at -0.3%, cementing the case for a gloomy economic outlook.

Looking ahead to next week, the UK economic docket will feature labor market data, the Consumer Price Index, and Retail Sales. Across the pond, the US economic docket will unveil Retail Sales, US Housing Starts, Initial Jobless Claims, and Existing Home Sales.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2204
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.2214
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2084
Daily SMA501.202
Daily SMA1001.1683
Daily SMA2001.2001
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2247
Previous Daily Low1.2088
Previous Weekly High1.2102
Previous Weekly Low1.1841
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2186
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2149
Daily Pivot Point S11.212
Daily Pivot Point S21.2025
Daily Pivot Point S31.1961
Daily Pivot Point R11.2278
Daily Pivot Point R21.2342
Daily Pivot Point R31.2437

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.