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GBP/USD into 1.2215 ahead of UK wage figures

  • The GBP/USD caught a much-needed boost on Monday as market sentiment recovers.
  • The Pound Sterling remains firmly off last week's highs after markets saw a fresh round of risk flows into the US Dollar.
  • Tuesday sees UK wages and US Retail Sales.

The GBP/USD gained on Monday, climbing back into 1.2215 as market risk appetite recovers heading into Tuesday's UK wages and US Retail Sales reading.

UK Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses is expected to hold steady at 7.8% on Tuesday, while the figure with bonuses added in is seen declining from 8.5% to 8.3%.

US Retail Sales due later on Tuesday is forecast to decline from 0.6% to 0.3%, though a solid beat could see markets resume fears of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the future. Inflation has continued to remain a sticking point for the US economy, and despite growth figures easing down, they continue to decline at a much slower pace than investors are hoping for.

With US growth continuing to settle slower than investors forecast, it will keep the Fed pushed off from making any rate cuts much longer than previously anticipated.

GBP/USD Technical Outlook

The Pound Sterling remains firmly bearish despite Monday's rebound, down from last week's swing low into 1.2337 and with price action firmly constrained on the low side of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently parked near 1.2444.

The GBP/USD is up from the last swing low into 1.2037, a seven-month low for the pair, and the pair is down over 7% from 2023's peaks near 1.3144.

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2212
Today Daily Change0.0070
Today Daily Change %0.58
Today daily open1.2142
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2222
Daily SMA501.2464
Daily SMA1001.26
Daily SMA2001.2444
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2226
Previous Daily Low1.2123
Previous Weekly High1.2337
Previous Weekly Low1.2123
Previous Monthly High1.2713
Previous Monthly Low1.2111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2162
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2186
Daily Pivot Point S11.2102
Daily Pivot Point S21.2061
Daily Pivot Point S31.1999
Daily Pivot Point R11.2204
Daily Pivot Point R21.2266
Daily Pivot Point R31.2307

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

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