|

GBP/USD: headed back to 1.50?

  • GBP/USD: looking in at Jan 25th post-Brexit referendum highs, where next? 
  • GBP/USD: Syria threat shrugged off, BoE in focus.

GBP/USD was handed over to the US open up +0.45% in the European session after rising from 1.4238 to a high of 1.4313. Currently, GBP/USD is trading at 1.4329, up 0.64% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.4339 and low at 1.4232.

British Prime Minister Theresa May has been addressing the UK parliament

The British Prime Minister Theresa May has been addressing the UK parliament after joining France and the US in airstrikes against Syria in a military operation that followed allegations of a chemical weapons attack in the town of Douma. Russia has said that if there is another Western attack on Syria, there will be 'global 'chaos'. 

Besides the geopolitical uncertainties, the main focus stays with the Central Banks and the potential for a rate hike from the BoE as soon as next month. This sentiment is giving the pound the edge while the DXY is weaker in its own right with broad-based dollar weakness and stronger commodities to start the week in European and US markets. There is also so M&E news in the background underpinning the pound with Shire selling its oncology business to Servier for $2.4bln. Also, with the most recent Brexit news more positive, cable has moved in on the post-Brexit referendum day high of 1.4346 with the latest high being 1.4337 so far.

GBP/USD levels

Bulls need to keep above the 200-W SMA 1.4245 that guards the Jan 2018 high of 1.4346. The post-Brexit highs by 1.5022 come thereafter on the very wide. "The GBP undertone is technically constructive and we think a push through the low 1.43s to a new cycle high will facilitate a push on to the mid 1.44 area fairly quickly. Support is 1.4230," analysts at Scotiabank noted. The psychological target comes as the 1.40 handle that guards 1.3960 and the four-month uptrend line at 1.3844.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD looks inconclusive near 1.1420

EUR/USD trades in a tight range in the low 1.1400s on Tuesday, struggling to gain momentum amid an equally absence of clear direction in the US Dollar (USD). Uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict is capping the pair’s upside, while traders avoid taking significant positions ahead of Thursday’s ECB gathering.

Gold shows signs of life; focus is back to $4,100

Gold gains ground on Tuesday, reversing Monday’s pessimism and advancing toward the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Nevertheless, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.