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GBP/USD hammered down to sub-1.3400 levels after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

  • GBP/USD plunged to a fresh monthly low amid a global rush to safe-haven assets, including the USD.
  • Russia’s invasion of Ukraine spooked investors and triggered a massive sell-off in the equity markets.
  • Technical selling below the 1.3500 mark also seems to have contributed to the steep intraday decline.

The GBP/USD pair added to its heavy intraday losses and tumbled to a fresh monthly low, below the 1.3400 mark during the mid-European session.

Following the recent repeated failures ahead of mid-1.3600s, the GBP/USD pair witnessed aggressive selling on Thursday and finally broke down of a more than three-week-old trading range. Investors dumped riskier assets and rushed to take refuge in traditional safe-haven assets after Russia launched an all-out invasion of Ukraine. This, in turn, provided a strong boost to the US dollar and exerted heavy downward pressure on the major.

It is worth mentioning that Russian President Vladimir Putin authorized a special military operation in Donbas earlier today. Moreover, reports indicated that Russian forces attacked the Ukrainian border around Belarus and also fired missiles at several Ukrainian cities. Ukraine added that troops were pouring across its borders into the eastern Chernihiv, Kharkiv and Luhansk regions, and landing by sea at the cities of Odesa and Mariupol in the south.

The headlines continued weighing on investors' sentiment and led to a steep decline across the global equity markets. Moreover, the geopolitical developments could dampen prospects for a 50 bps rate hike by the Bank of England at its March meeting. This was seen as another factor that undermined the British pound and further contributed to the GBP/USD pair's sharp decline, which took along some short-term trading stops below the 1.3500 psychological mark.

Hence, the downfall could further be attributed to some follow-through technical selling. A subsequent slide below the 1.3400 round figure now seems to have set the stage for the retest of 2022 low, around the 1.3360-1.3355 region. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Traders now eye the Prelim US GDP report for some impetus, though the focus remains on the situation in Ukraine.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3396
Today Daily Change-0.0148
Today Daily Change %-1.09
Today daily open1.3544
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3538
Daily SMA501.3516
Daily SMA1001.3506
Daily SMA2001.3681
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3621
Previous Daily Low1.3536
Previous Weekly High1.3643
Previous Weekly Low1.3487
Previous Monthly High1.3749
Previous Monthly Low1.3358
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3568
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3588
Daily Pivot Point S11.3513
Daily Pivot Point S21.3482
Daily Pivot Point S31.3428
Daily Pivot Point R11.3598
Daily Pivot Point R21.3652
Daily Pivot Point R31.3683

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
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