|

GBP/USD gains ground on US Dollar weakness

  • The Cable trades with gains for a second consecutive day.
  • The US debt-ceiling agreement favored a positive market environment
  • Focus shifts to NFP data from May from the US.

Cable trades with gains near the 1.2350 area and benefits from the positive market mood fueled by the announcement on Sunday regarding an agreement on the debt ceiling between US President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. While neither country will release relevant economic reports the pace of the session will be dictated by the market assessment of the mentioned agreement.

US stock futures rise signaling a positive market mood

On Sunday, Joe Biden and Kevin McCarthy made a joint announcement, stating that they have reached an agreement regarding the extension of the debt ceiling. According to the proposed deal, the government would be allowed to borrow money without increasing the limit, which would be temporarily suspended until 2025. However, the proposal still requires approval from Congress, although US officials are hopeful that it will be passed. 

The news of the agreement was well-received by Wall Street futures, leading to a rise in their value and exerting downward pressure on the US Dollar.

For the rest of the week, the focus will shift to Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data from the US from May which is expected to hint at more pain in the American labor market. In that sense the outlook may have an impact on expectations from the next Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting in June and hence on the US Dollar price dynamics.

Levels to watch

Technically speaking, the GBP/USD holds a neutral to bearish outlook for the short term. The bears are struggling to maintain their dominance, but technical indicators are still unfavorable, suggesting that the market may still have some downside potential.

The psychological mark at 1.2320 is the immediate support level for GBP/USD. A break below this level could pave the way towards the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2290 area and then to the 1.2250 zone. Furthermore, a move above the 1.2390 level would favor the bull’s momentum with next resistances at the 1.2450 zone and 20-day SMA at 1.2480.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2361
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.2348
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.249
Daily SMA501.2435
Daily SMA1001.2288
Daily SMA2001.1978
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2395
Previous Daily Low1.2311
Previous Weekly High1.2472
Previous Weekly Low1.2308
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2363
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2343
Daily Pivot Point S11.2307
Daily Pivot Point S21.2267
Daily Pivot Point S31.2223
Daily Pivot Point R11.2391
Daily Pivot Point R21.2435
Daily Pivot Point R31.2476

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).