|

GBP/USD edges lower to near 1.2580 on improved US Dollar, UK PMI, FOMC minutes awaited

  • GBP/USD continues to lose ground as US Dollar snaps its losing streak.
  • Higher US Treasury yields support the Greenback to gain ground.
  • Traders await PMI data release from the United Kingdom on Thursday.

GBP/USD continues to remain in the negative territory, trading around 1.2580 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The strength of the US Dollar (USD) could be attributed to the improved US Treasury yields, which in turn, weighs on the GBP/USD pair. Traders are awaiting meeting minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for Wednesday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) edges higher as the market returns from a holiday-extended weekend, snapping its four-day losing streak. The DXY trades higher around 104.40 with 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons standing at 4.65% and 4.30%, respectively, by the press time.

Moreover, ANZ expects that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will initiate rate cuts starting from July 2024. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 53% possibility of a 25 basis points rate cut by the US Fed in the June meeting. The recent remarks from the Fed officials considering the rate cuts sooner undermined the US Dollar.

San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary C. Daly mentioned that three rate cuts are a reasonable baseline for 2024. Additionally, St. Louis Federal Reserve (Fed) president, James Bullard suggested Federal Reserve consider lowering interest rates at its March meeting.

The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to maintain interest rates at their current level to address persistent consumer prices in the United Kingdom (UK). Strong consumer spending adds complexity for policymakers at the Bank of England (BoE) as they navigate a technical recession and higher inflation amidst elevated interest rates.

Traders are likely to closely monitor the upcoming S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data on Thursday to gain further insights into the UK's economic landscape. The Services PMI is anticipated to show a slight moderation in February but is expected to remain above the 50 mark, indicating expansion. Meanwhile, the Manufacturing sector could demonstrate a slight improvement.

GBP/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2585
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.2598
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2643
Daily SMA501.2677
Daily SMA1001.2513
Daily SMA2001.2566
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.263
Previous Daily Low1.2584
Previous Weekly High1.2688
Previous Weekly Low1.2536
Previous Monthly High1.2786
Previous Monthly Low1.2597
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2601
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2612
Daily Pivot Point S11.2578
Daily Pivot Point S21.2558
Daily Pivot Point S31.2532
Daily Pivot Point R11.2624
Daily Pivot Point R21.265
Daily Pivot Point R31.267

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.