- GBP/USD is expecting further downside to near 1.2000 ahead of US Inflation.
- Fears of an upside surprise in US inflation and back-to-back Pentagon events portray a risk-off impulse.
- UK FM Jeremy Hunt is confident that the UK inflation will be halved if the administration sticks to its plan.
The GBP/USD pair displays a sideways action around 1.2050 in the early Asian session. The Cable is expected to show further downside as the odds of a policy-tightening pause by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have vanished entirely, and more interest rate hikes are expected to continue its battle against stubborn inflation.
Renewed concerns of more policy tightening by the Fed and disappointed quarterly earnings forced S&P500 to settle last week with the highest losses since December. This has strengthened the risk-aversion theme further. Also, the Pentagon shot down an unidentified object over Alaska on Saturday. This is the second event in less than a week after the Pentagon shot down the spy Chinese balloon, which was later identified as a civilian by the Chinese administration. The events portray more traction for the risk-off impulse.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) looks set to add gains above 103.35 ahead of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, scheduled for Tuesday. A Reuters poll expects further upside in the monthly headline and core inflation by 0.4%.
Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker reiterated that the central bank would continue hiking interest rates to above 5%. The Fed policymaker has favored a small interest rate hike and sees no recession ahead. Also, the expression of a rate cut is unlikely this year.
On the United Kingdom front, preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Q4 remained stagnant, as expected by the market participants. Also, the annual GDP matched expectations of 0.4% expansion vs. the former release of 1.9%. The Manufacturing and Industrial Production remained negative but delivered less contraction than expected.
UK Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said, “The fact the UK was the fastest growing economy in the G7 last year, as well as avoiding a recession, shows our economy is more resilient than many feared." He added, “If we stick to our plan to halve inflation this year, we can be confident of having amongst the best prospects for growth anywhere in Europe.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds onto RBA gains, ahead of Lowe and key data Premium
AUD/USD rose for the fourth consecutive day on Tuesday, reaching weekly highs above 0.6650. The positive tone around the Aussie prevails following the recent rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Governor Lowe will speak on Wednesday, and Australian GDP data is also due.
EUR/USD replicates sluggish markets around 1.0700 amid challenges for ECB hawks, Fed blackout Premium
EUR/USD licks its wounds around 1.0700 as bulls and bears jostle during a sluggish week comprising unimpressive data and the Fed blackout. The Euro price pared intraday losses during late Tuesday but remains sidelined as the early Asian session morning restricts the market’s moves.
Gold edges higher as US Dollar, yields dribble on mixed Fed concerns
Gold price seesaws around $1,963 amid the early hours of Wednesday’s Asian session, after a two-day rebound within a short-term trading range. In doing so, the XAU/USD pays little heed to the US Dollar’s slightly positive performance.
Arbitrum community to vote for AIP budget proposal as ARB hints 10% gains
The Arbitrum community has published the draft for the AIP budget proposal, voting to commence on June 9. The proposed budget aligns with the Foundation's strategic needs to represent and service the DAO. Three elements stand out concerning the Foundation's Administrative Budget Wallet.
Readying for hawkish Fed
S&P 500 made two runs over 4,300, yet was rejected in each. Bonds though didn‘t paint universally negative picture – only the sectoral composition of the decline did.