GBP/USD breaks 1.32 handle but next YouGov poll could encourage profit taking

Ross J Burland FXStreet

Just as cable breaks the 1.32 handle for the first time since March, there are rumours that the new YouGov MRP coming out shortly makes slightly less happy reading for the Conservatives. GBP/USD rallied to a high of 1.3215 from a low of 1.3132 on the day, some 0.5%. However, the move has been met with strong supply and has taken cable to below 1.3190 offered at the time of writing.

Markets are in anticipation of the next YouGov MPR where there are rumours that there has been a narrowing in the gap between the Tories and Labour. Anything fewer than 340 seats (out of 650) would point to continued instability in UK politics for 2020 as party hard-liners pull the government in opposite directions. Less than 312 Conservative seats risk a Labour-led government.

YouGov, which takes the latest polling statistics and projects them into seats, are to release their final MRP model of the campaign at 2200 GMT. It would not be surprising to see some further longs taken off at some point into the close on Wall Street and in early Asia as traders prepare for potential downside in the poll's release and indeed into the vote's result itself on Friday morning.

Update

Some early indications coming in from Focaldata:

CON 337, LAB 235, SNP 41, LD 14, PC 3, GRN 1, BXP 0, Speaker 1 CON majority 24.

That's a little too tight for comfort.

FX implications

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.