|

GBP/USD: Bears in control, breaches 1.2250 ahead of BOE

The downside correction in GBP/USD pair gathers steam after a brief phase of consolidation around 1.2270in early dealings, now pushing the rate below the mid-point of 1.22 handle.

The spot ran into resistances lined up just below 1.23 handle, and resumed its corrective slide amid broad based US dollar recovery, after the steep sell-off triggered by a less-hawkish Fed decision, which dashed hopes of acceleration in the pace of monetary policy tightening by the Fed.

Moreover, a solid rebound staged by treasury yields curbs demand for the GBP as an alternative higher-yielding currency and hence, collaborates to the renewed downside in the major.

However, a risk-on rally in the European equities may help cushion the losses in GBP/USD, as all eyes remain focused on the upcoming BOE policy decision, with most analysts expecting the British central bank to maintain a status-quo today.

GBP/USD Levels to consider            

Karen Jones, Analyst at Commerzbank notes, “GBP/USD near term outlook is neutralizing: Sterling failed to close below the 78.6% retracement at 1.2142, for 6 days and has reversed near term. It has based near term and is likely to re test the 55 and 100 day ma at 1.2374/1.2407. Above here initial resistance is 1.2583 (9th Feb high). However only above 1.2658 channel would allow for further strength to the 1.2776 December high. Between here and 1.2836 lies several Fibonacci retracements and major resistance and we suspect that it will fail here.”       

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.2160
0.0%100.0%50.0%0-10010203040506070809010011000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 50% Bullish
  • 50% Bearish
  • 0% Sideways
Bias Neutral
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.2205
100.0%72.0%29.0%03040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 29% Bullish
  • 43% Bearish
  • 29% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.2171
100.0%70.0%35.0%03040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 35% Bullish
  • 35% Bearish
  • 30% Sideways
Bias Neutral

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1800 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony failed to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3500, struggles to gain traction

GBP/USD rebound from session lows but stays below 1.3550 on Thursday. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar stay resilient against its rivals and makes it difficult for the pair gather recovery momentum. Investors await headlines that will come out of the US-Iran nuclear talks.

Gold clings to small gains near $5,200 ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold trades marginally higher on the day above $5,150 on Thursday as investors refrain from taking large positions. The US and Iran will hold the next round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday, outcome of which could have significant implications for risk perception.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.