|

GBP/USD battles 1.3800 after UK CPI misses estimates with 3.1% YoY in September

  • UK CPI rises by 3.1% YoY in September vs. +3.2% expected.
  • Monthly UK CPI arrives at 0.3% in September vs. +0.4% expected.
  • GBP/USD holds steady around 1.3800 on downbeat UK CPIs.

The UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate came in at +3.1% in September when compared to +3.2% recorded in August while missing expectations of a +3.2% print, the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported on Wednesday. 

Meanwhile, the core inflation gauge (excluding volatile food and energy items) fell to 2.9% YoY last month versus 3.1% registered in August, falling short of the consensus forecast of 3.0%.

The monthly figures showed that the UK consumer prices arrived at 0.3% in September vs. 0.4% expectations and 0.7% prior.

Main points (via ONS):

The largest upward contribution to the September 2021 CPIH 12-month inflation rate came from transport (0.91 percentage points).

Restaurants and hotels made the largest downward contribution to the change in the CPIH.

FX implications:

In an initial reaction to the downbeat UK CPI numbers, the GBP/USD pair eased a few pips below 1.3800.

The spot was last seen trading at 1.3802, up 0.05% on the day.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.