GBP shows strength amid mixed UK data – BBH

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Pound Sterling (GBP) outperformed as UK labor market conditions eased and the December PMI signaled firmer private sector growth, while markets fully priced in an upcoming Bank of England rate cut, BBH FX analysts report.

UK unemployment hits highest since Q1 2021

"GBP is outperforming. UK labor market condition continued to ease in October while the UK December PMI points to firmer private sector growth traction. The Bank of England (BOE) remains on track to deliver a rate cut on Thursday (93% priced-in) but the easing path ahead should remain gradual. We expect GBP to continue underperforming on the crosses."

"The unemployment rate matched consensus at 5.1% (highest since Q1 2021) vs. 5.0% in September and job vacancies have fallen further. This has kept the vacancies-to-unemployment ratio well below its estimated equilibrium level (0.50), indicative of weaker labor demand."

"Wage growth slowed but remains a key source of underlying inflation pressure given that labor productivity is estimated at -0.2% in 2025. The policy-relevant private sector regular pay fell to the lowest since late 2020 at 3.9% y/y (consensus: 3.8%) vs 4.2% in September. Finally, the composite PMI increased to a 2-month high at 52.1 (consensus: 51.5) vs. 51.2 in November, reflecting an improvement in services and manufacturing activity."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD clinches five-week highs; focus is on 0.7100

AUD/USD has pushed harder on Wednesday, further extending its recent break above the key 0.7000 yardstick. Indeed, the renewed downside pressure on the Greenback lent legs to the Aussie, opening the door to a potential revisit to the 0,.7100 zone.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold hovers around $4,050 after Fed's announcement

Gold ticks higher after the Federal Open Market Committee kept the Fed funds rate unchanged at 4%. XAU/USD advanced as Chair Kevin Warsh explained that hikes are working, cooling down hopes for an aggressive 50 bps hike in December.

Bitcoin and Gold Forecast: BTC bulls hold $80K as XAU defends $4,000 ahead of Fed

Bitcoin (BTC) ticks lower near $80,000 on Wednesday, while Gold (XAU/USD) holds above $4,000. Both assets reflect the broader risk-off sentiment as focus remains on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision later in the day.

Fed's recap: A cautious hold with a clear warning on inflation

The Federal Reserve (Fed) held its policy rate steady at 3.75%-4.00%, but it wasn’t a unanimous decision. Among two officials who wanted a 25-basis-point hike were Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack, while Chair Kevin Warsh said the Fed would use the coming flow of information to decide whether further action is needed. The statement presented a resilient economy.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid

Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.