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GBP/JPY technical analysis: Seems vulnerable to test descending channel support near 131.00 handle

  • The overnight attempted move up ran out of the steam near 100-hour SMA.
  • The recent corrective slide from two-month tops might still be far from over.

The GBP/JPY cross gained some positive traction on Thursday following the news that Tories - including those who opposed the previous deal - and the DUP extended support to the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s new Brexit proposal. The positive momentum, however, lacked any strong follow-through and quickly fizzled out near 100-hour SMA.
 
The cross remained depressed and was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band - just above one-month lows - through the early European session on Friday. This marked the fourth consecutive day of a downtick for the cross and also the ninth session of a weaker mood in the previous eleven, suggesting that the near-term bearish pressure might still be far from over.
 
This coupled with the fact that the recent pullback from over two-month tops has been along a descending trend-channel further reinforces a well-established downtrend. Hence, a slide towards challenging a support marked by the lower end of the mentioned trend-channel, currently near the 131.00 round-figure mark, now looks a distinct possibility.
 
The mentioned handle coincides with 50% Fibonacci level of the 126.67-135.75 recovery move, which if broken should prompt some fresh technical selling and turn the cross vulnerable to accelerate the downfall further towards testing 61.8% Fibo. level support - just ahead of the key 130.00 psychological mark.
 
On the flip side, the 132.00 handle now seems to act as immediate resistance and any subsequent recovery attempt might continue to confront some fresh supply near 100-hour SMA - currently near the 132.30 region. This should eventually cap the cross near the trend-channel resistance - coinciding with the overnight swing highs near the 132.50-55 region.

GBP/JPY 1-hourly chart

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GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price131.68
Today Daily Change-0.15
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open131.83
 
Trends
Daily SMA20133.37
Daily SMA50131.15
Daily SMA100133.97
Daily SMA200138.9
 
Levels
Previous Daily High132.55
Previous Daily Low131.48
Previous Weekly High134.62
Previous Weekly Low132.31
Previous Monthly High135.75
Previous Monthly Low126.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%132.14
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%131.89
Daily Pivot Point S1131.36
Daily Pivot Point S2130.89
Daily Pivot Point S3130.29
Daily Pivot Point R1132.43
Daily Pivot Point R2133.02
Daily Pivot Point R3133.49

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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