|

GBP/JPY struggles near one-week low, just below 161.00 mark amid risk-off mood

  • GBP/JPY struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick to the 161.55 region.
  • Concerns about the UK government’s fiscal plans, recession fears weigh on the GBP.
  • The risk-off mood benefits the safe-haven JPY and contributes to the intraday slide.

The GBP/JPY cross surrenders its modest intraday gains and drops to a one-week low, below the 161.00 round-figure mark during the early European session.

Investors remain concerned about the UK government's fiscal policy, which continues to undermine the British pound amid looming recession risks and acts as a headwind for the GBP/JPY cross. In fact, UK Prime Minister Liz Truss last week defended the tax-cut plan and said that cutting taxes is the right thing to do morally and economically. This could derail the Bank of England's efforts to contain high inflation and force it to turn more hawkish, creating headwinds for the economy.

Apart from this, the prevalent risk-off environment benefits the Japanese yen's relative safe-haven status and further contributes to capping the GBP/JPY cross. The market sentiment remains fragile amid growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn and geopolitical risks, which is evident from a weaker tone around the equity markets. That said, thin trading volumes on the back of a holiday in Japan help limit the downside for the GBP/JPY cross, at least for the time being.

Moreover, a big divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Bank of Japan and other major central banks should keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the JPY. This, in turn, warrants caution before positioning for an extension of the recent pullback from a three-week high, around the 165.70 area touched last Wednesday. In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases on Monday, the broader risk sentiment will be looked upon for some impetus around the GBP/JPY cross.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price161.06
Today Daily Change0.08
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open160.98
 
Trends
Daily SMA20161.84
Daily SMA50162.22
Daily SMA100163.13
Daily SMA200160.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High162.6
Previous Daily Low160.78
Previous Weekly High165.72
Previous Weekly Low160.58
Previous Monthly High167.22
Previous Monthly Low148.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%161.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.9
Daily Pivot Point S1160.3
Daily Pivot Point S2159.63
Daily Pivot Point S3158.48
Daily Pivot Point R1162.13
Daily Pivot Point R2163.28
Daily Pivot Point R3163.96

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD risks a deeper drop below 1.1750

EUR/USD keeps its vacillating mood in place as the the NA session drwas to a close on Tuesday, hovering below the 1.1800 hurdle amid acceptable gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, market participants and the FX galaxy are expected to closely follow President Trump’s SOTU speech around 2AM GMT.
 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Australia CPI to highlight persistent price pressures, backing a hawkish outlook

Australia will release its key set of inflation figures for the month of January on Wednesday, with the Consumer Price Index expected to rise by 3.7%, slightly lower than the 3.8% in the last month of 2025.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.