|

GBP/JPY skids along the bottom, bears looking for 181.00

  • The GBP/JPY consolidated in the back half of Tuesday trading, pinned to the low side just above 181.00.
  • The Guppy is down from Tuesday's opening bids near 181.80.
  • Broader market risk appetite burst into flames on Tuesday, but Yen traders are leery ahead of Japan inflation figures.

The GBP/JPY is down nearly 80 pips heading into the Wednesday market session, with the Pound Sterling (GBP) continuing to flag against the Japanese Yen (JPY). The pair is down almost 1.3% from last week's peak, and in the red over 3.0% from August's peak of 186.77.

The mid-week is thin on the economic calendar for the Guppy, and traders will be looking ahead to Thursday's Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading on Thursday, which will be followed by Friday's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures for the UK.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is determined to see Japanese inflation remain above 2% in a meaningful way before stepping away from its hyper-easy monetary policy regime. Japanese interest rates are currently at -0.1%, and despite inflation being over the BoJ's 2% target, fears of an inflation collapse are plaguing the BoJ.

Investors will be keeping a close eye on Thursday's Tokyo CPI reading for September, which last printed at 2.9% for the annualized period into August.

Japan's Tokyo CPI data drops late Thursday at 23:30 GMT.

Friday will bring an end-of-week juggle for the GBP, with UK GDP figures in the pipe; laboring economic growth remains a key sticking point for the Bank of England (BoE), and UK GDP is forecast to hold steady at 0.2% for the second quarter.

GBP/JPY technical outlook

Intraday action for the GPB/JPY is decidedly bearish, with prices slumping away from the 34-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 181.40 and the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) well above current price action at 182.40.

Daily candlesticks see the Guppy on the downside as well, with the pair drifting into the 100-day SMA just above the 180.00 major handle. Despite recent bearish momentum, the GBP/JPY has soared in the medium-term and still remains almost 17% higher for the year.

Technical indicators are drifting into oversold territory thanks to the last six weeks' gradual decline, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is set to ping the lower boundary indicating overextended selling pressure.

GBP/JPY daily chart

GBP/JPY technical levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price181.18
Today Daily Change-0.62
Today Daily Change %-0.34
Today daily open181.8
 
Trends
Daily SMA20183.68
Daily SMA50183.27
Daily SMA100180.18
Daily SMA200171.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High181.96
Previous Daily Low181.41
Previous Weekly High183.49
Previous Weekly Low180.82
Previous Monthly High186.77
Previous Monthly Low180.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%181.75
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%181.62
Daily Pivot Point S1181.49
Daily Pivot Point S2181.17
Daily Pivot Point S3180.94
Daily Pivot Point R1182.04
Daily Pivot Point R2182.27
Daily Pivot Point R3182.59

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.