|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Tests nine-day EMA barrier near 200.00 ahead of UK PMI figures

  • GBP/JPY tests its initial resistance at the nine-day EMA of 199.81.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index remains above 50, strengthening the bullish bias.
  • The primary support lies at the crucial level of 199.50.

GBP/JPY extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 199.70 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross appreciates ahead of the United Kingdom’s (UK) S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for September.

A look at the daily chart suggested the GBP/JPY cross is remaining within an ascending channel pattern, suggesting the market bias is bullish. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key momentum gauge, is positioned slightly above the 50 mark, strengthening the bullish bias. However, the currency cross is still slightly below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting that short-term price momentum is weaker. A break above the nine-day EMA would offer bullish confirmation.

The GBP/JPY cross is testing its immediate barrier at the nine-day EMA of 199.81, followed by the psychological level of 200.00. A break above this resistance zone would improve the short-term price momentum and support the currency cross to approach the 14-month high of 201.27, which was reached on September 18. Further advances support the market bias and prompt the currency cross to explore the region around the ascending channel’s upper boundary at 203.60.

On the downside, the currency cross may retest the crucial support level at 199.50, followed by the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 199.40. A break below the channel would weaken the bullish bias and put downward pressure on the GBP/JPY cross to test the 50-day EMA at 198.81.

GBP/JPY: Daily Chart

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.14%-0.13%-0.01%0.19%0.15%0.25%-0.05%
EUR-0.14%-0.13%-0.12%0.10%0.09%0.17%-0.13%
GBP0.13%0.13%0.08%0.24%0.22%0.29%0.00%
JPY0.01%0.12%-0.08%0.18%0.19%0.24%0.04%
CAD-0.19%-0.10%-0.24%-0.18%-0.03%0.06%-0.24%
AUD-0.15%-0.09%-0.22%-0.19%0.03%0.08%-0.13%
NZD-0.25%-0.17%-0.29%-0.24%-0.06%-0.08%-0.29%
CHF0.05%0.13%-0.00%-0.04%0.24%0.13%0.29%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD looks inconclusive near 1.1420

EUR/USD trades in a tight range in the low 1.1400s on Tuesday, struggling to gain momentum amid an equally absence of clear direction in the US Dollar (USD). Uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict is capping the pair’s upside, while traders avoid taking significant positions ahead of Thursday’s ECB gathering.

Gold shows signs of life; focus is back to $4,100

Gold gains ground on Tuesday, reversing Monday’s pessimism and advancing toward the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Nevertheless, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.