|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Pierces 200-HMA as BOJ leaves monetary policy unchanged

  • GBP/JPY prints three-day uptrend despite the latest pullback from intraday high.
  • Immediate support line, bullish MACD signals and BOJ’s inaction together help buyers.
  • Sellers have a bumpy road to travel before taking control.

GBP/JPY reverses the knee-jerk reaction to the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) monetary policy meeting while staying firmer around 164.60 during Friday’s Asian session. In doing so, the cross-currency pair rises for the third consecutive day as buyers poke the 200-HMA hurdle.

In addition to the BOJ’s refrain from following the major central banks, bullish MACD signals and upward sloping trend line from Thursday’s low also keep GBP/JPY buyers hopeful.

Read: BOJ leaves unchanged its guidance on policy bias, maintains dovish rhetoric

That said, a clear upside break of the 200-HMA level surrounding 165.10 appears necessary for the bulls to keep reins.

Also challenging the immediate advance is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the June 09-16 downtrend.

Following that, a run-up towards the monthly peak of 168.73, as well as the 170.00 threshold, can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, pullback moves remain elusive until the quote stay beyond the aforementioned support line, near 164.00 by the press time.

In a case where GBP/JPY remains pressured after 164.00, multiple supports around 163.80, 162.30 and 161.40 could challenge the pair’s further downside.

GBP/JPY: Hourly chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price164.59
Today Daily Change1.27
Today Daily Change %0.78%
Today daily open163.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.94
Daily SMA50162.57
Daily SMA100159.58
Daily SMA200156.51
 
Levels
Previous Daily High163.8
Previous Daily Low160
Previous Weekly High168.74
Previous Weekly Low162.91
Previous Monthly High163.91
Previous Monthly Low155.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%162.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.45
Daily Pivot Point S1160.95
Daily Pivot Point S2158.58
Daily Pivot Point S3157.16
Daily Pivot Point R1164.75
Daily Pivot Point R2166.17
Daily Pivot Point R3168.54

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.