|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Hits eight-year high on risk appetite improvement, bull's eye 190.00

  • GBP/JPY uptrend appears to be overextended, with the next major target set at the 190.00 psychological level, a peak not seen since September 2008.
  • A successful breach of 190.00 could open the path towards the September 2008 high of 198.34, potentially even the 200.00 mark.
  • On the downside, initial support is today’s low of 186.04, followed by the Tenkan-Sen at 185.50, the Kijun-Sen at 184.52, and the Senkou-Span A at 185.01.

In the mid-North American session, GBP/JPY rallied and refreshed eight-year highs at around 188.28 on Tuesday, after economic data from the US sparked speculations the Federal Reserve wouldn’t tighten monetary policy any further. Investors see that as a green light to buy riskier assets, to the detriment of the safe-haven status of the Japanese Yen (JPY). The GBP/JPY trades at 188.08, up more than 2%

 Given the abovementioned fundamental intro, from a technical perspective, the GBP/JPY uptrend seems overextended, with buyers targeting the 190.00 mark, a level that hasn’t been reached since September 2008. A breach of the latter will immediately expose the September 2008 high at 198.34 ahead of testing 200.00.

On the other hand, the GBP/JPY first support is seen at today’s low of 186.04, which, once cleared, te pair could dive to the Tenkan-Sen level at 185.50, followed by the Kijun-Sen at 184.52. Once cleared, the next support would be the Senkou-Span A at 185.01.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis – Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price188.03
Today Daily Change1.86
Today Daily Change %1.00
Today daily open186.17
 
Trends
Daily SMA20183.49
Daily SMA50182.95
Daily SMA100182.98
Daily SMA200175.37
 
Levels
Previous Daily High186.21
Previous Daily Low185
Previous Weekly High185.97
Previous Weekly Low184.55
Previous Monthly High184.33
Previous Monthly Low178.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%185.75
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%185.46
Daily Pivot Point S1185.37
Daily Pivot Point S2184.58
Daily Pivot Point S3184.16
Daily Pivot Point R1186.59
Daily Pivot Point R2187.01
Daily Pivot Point R3187.8

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold retakes $4,400 as receding Fed hike bets undermine USD

Gold is looking to build on Friday's bounce from the $4,300 neighborhood as reduced bets on an immediate Fed rate hike keep US Dollar bulls on the defensive and support the non-yielding bullion. However, the US-Iran standoff could limit deeper USD losses, warranting caution before positioning for the resumption of the XAU/USD pair's recent uptrend to its highest level since June 5.

BTC/USD price outlook: Bitcoin navigating between arc levels. Potential continuation toward $58,000
Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1D chart, Bitcoin is trading between the 0.5 Arc and 0.618 Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price has cleared the 0.5 Arc and is progressing toward the 0.618 Arc, suggesting continued movement toward the next Arc boundary. Metric
US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Economic cracks challenge Fed rate bets

It was a strange week for the US Dollar: while the geopolitical situation has remained largely unchanged, with the usual back-and-forth between the US, Iran, and occasional third parties, disappointing domestic data have re-emerged, reducing expectations of potential tightening by the Federal Reserve in the next few months.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.