|

GBP/JPY plummets to 8-month lows at 143.20 on risk aversion

  • GBP/JPY loses more than 200 pips on Tuesday. 
  • The pair is headed for its 8th straight negative daily close.
  • Flight-to-safety dictates the price action in the FX market.

After breaking below the 145 handle, the previous 2018 low, the GBP/JPY pair extended its losses to touch its worst level since early September at 143.20 before retracing a small portion of its daily losses. As of writing, the pair was trading at 143.90, down 1.15% on the day.

The risk-off mood amid increasing concerns over the political uncertainty on Tuesday forced investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-havens such as the JPY. The USD/JPY pair lost more than 100 pips and the EUR/JPY tumbled to its worst level in nearly a year at 124.60. Following the sharp drop in major European equity indexes, Wall Street is also looking to end the day substantially lower with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 losing 1.6% and 1.1% respectively. Furthermore, the CBOE Volatility Index, Wall Street's fear gauge, reached its highest level in over 2 months with a daily increase of 35%.

In the early trading hours of the Asian session, retail trade figures will be released from Japan, which is expected to remain unchanged at 1% on a yearly basis in April. Furthermore, BoJ Governor Kuroda will be delivering a speech. The economic docket in the UK won't be featuring any data on Wednesday and the risk perception is likely to continue to dominate the market movements.

Technical levels to consider

The pair could encounter the first technical support at 143.20 (May 29 low) before extending its downside toward 142.70 (Sep. 11, 2017, low) and 141.20 (Sep. 5, 2017, low). On the other side, resistances align at 145 (psychological level), 146.15 (May 28 high) and 147.25 (May 24 high).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.