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GBP/JPY hovers around cycle highs near 148.50

  • GBP/JPY advanced slightly on Thursday near the 148.50 mark.
  • Technicals still point to overbought conditions, suggesting that a downward correction may be on the horizon.
  • The Sterling traded strongly against its major rivals.

The GBP/JPY advanced slightly on Thursday's session, mainly benefiting from weak Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from Japan. On the other hand, the Sterling traded strongly across the board, seeing gains against the USD, CHF, EUR and AUD. Furthermore, the JPY’s downside potential is limited as the Yen gets traction on the prospects of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) interventions and cautions market mood.

Cautious markets provide support to the Yen, eyes on BoE’s decision

The Japanese Yen is finding support from the recent expectations of further interventions by the BoJ to bolster the domestic currency. Additionally, the JPY's safe-haven appeal is benefiting from a cautious market sentiment due to concerns about a global economic slowdown, particularly in China.

On the other hand, market expectations are currently pointing towards an anticipated interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE) from 4.5% to 4.75% on June 22. Moreover, markets discount a roughly 60% probability that rates will reach a peak of 5.5% later in the year. In that sense, the recent surge in UK core inflation figures to a 31-year high has fueled expectations of a more hawkish stance from the Bank of England, providing traction to the Sterling.

GBP/JPY levels to watch

Technically speaking, the GBP/JPY  holds a neutral to bullish outlook for the short term while the bulls seemed to have taken a breather. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands near 67.00, just below the overbought area after getting rejected by 70.00 since the end of May suggesting that if the bulls fail to break it, a downward correction may come into play. 

Upcoming resistance for GBP/JPY is seen at the zone of 174.70 before uncharted territory. On the other hand, the next support levels to watch are the 174.00 zone, followed by the psychological mark at 173.00 and the 172 area.

GBP/JPY daily chart

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price174.46
Today Daily Change0.18
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open174.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20172.34
Daily SMA50169.2
Daily SMA100165.26
Daily SMA200164.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High174.43
Previous Daily Low172.67
Previous Weekly High174.68
Previous Weekly Low172.53
Previous Monthly High174.28
Previous Monthly Low167.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%173.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%173.34
Daily Pivot Point S1173.16
Daily Pivot Point S2172.03
Daily Pivot Point S3171.39
Daily Pivot Point R1174.92
Daily Pivot Point R2175.56
Daily Pivot Point R3176.69

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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