|

GBP/JPY could move above the 170.00 level in the short-term – Rabobank

Both the Japanese yen and the British pound have been under a lot of pressure recently. GBP/JPY remains firm around 168.50 and economists at Rabobank believe that the pair could rise above the 170 mark.

A key week for GBP and JPY

“Although UK fundamentals remain sour, it is possible that the risk of further panic selling of the pound may now be contained. That said, the week ahead will be another crucial one in terms of the outlook for GBP.”

“The outlook for the JPY is essentially a mix of two drivers. On one hand the BoJ’s accommodative monetary policy settings are undermining the JPY in an environment in which most other central banks are hiking interest rates. On the other hand, FX intervention from the MoF is designed to make speculators think twice about shorting the JPY.”

“We see risk of GBP/JPY moving above the 170.00 level in the short-term, though we expect that these levels could be difficult to sustain, and forecast that GBP/JPY is likely to be lower on a three-month view on the back of a weak pound.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD softens to near 1.1350 as Fed hike bets rise ahead of PCE inflation data

The EUR/USD pair declines to around 1.1355 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Euro weakens to its lowest level since June 2025 against the US Dollar as traders increase their bets on US interest rate hikes later this year. The US May Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation data will be the highlight on Thursday. 

Gold off YTD lows, still struggles around $4,000 on hawkish Fed bets

Gold is off year-to-date lows, still struggling around $4,000 in the Asian session on Thursday as bears pause following the overnight slump to the lowest level since November 2025. Despite easing inflationary concerns amid falling oil prices, elevated Fed rate-hike bets help the US Dollar preserve its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025, weighing on non-yielding bullion.

Crypto market sheds over 50% of its value amid Bitcoin's brief decline below $60K
The crypto market has erased more than half of its value since reaching an all-time high in late 2025. The decline underscores the severity of the recent bear market and lack of a fresh catalyst to revive investor interest, according to a Wednesday X post by The Kobeissi Letter. The total crypto market cap peaked at a record $4.3 trillion on October 6, 2025.
5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally
Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.