|

GBP/JPY breaks below 193.00 ahead of BoE’s interest rate decision

  • GBP/JPY declines as the Japanese Yen strengthens, fueled by market expectations of a potential BoJ rate hike in 2025.
  • The UK ILO Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.4% for the three months ending January, as expected.
  • The BoE is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.5% with a 7-2 vote split on Thursday.

GBP/JPY continues to slide for the second straight session, hovering around 192.80 during European trading hours on Thursday. The currency cross weakens as the Japanese Yen (JPY) gains traction, driven by market expectations of a potential Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike in 2025. On Wednesday, the BoJ kept its short-term interest rate target steady within the 0.40%-0.50% range.

The BoJ’s Monetary Policy Statement highlighted moderate economic recovery in Japan, despite some persistent weaknesses. Consumer spending is gradually improving, and inflation expectations are rising at a controlled pace. In a post-meeting press conference, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed that the central bank would adjust its policies to ensure the sustainable and stable achievement of its inflation targets.

Additionally, the GBP/JPY cross faces downward pressure as the Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens against major counterparts following the release of the UK labor market data. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained at 4.4% for the three months ending January, in line with expectations and the previous reading.

UK Employment Change showed an increase of 144K new jobs during the same period, surpassing the 107K additions recorded in the three months ending December. Meanwhile, Average Earnings (excluding bonuses) rose by 5.9%, matching forecasts and previous figures.

Investors now turn their attention to the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest rate decision, expected later in the day. The BoE is widely anticipated to maintain rates at 4.5% with a 7-2 vote split. In its last policy meeting in February, the central bank lowered borrowing costs by 25 basis points.

Economic Indicator

BoE Interest Rate Decision

The Bank of England (BoE) announces its interest rate decision at the end of its eight scheduled meetings per year. If the BoE is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and raises interest rates it is usually bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP). Likewise, if the BoE adopts a dovish view on the UK economy and keeps interest rates unchanged, or cuts them, it is seen as bearish for GBP.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Mar 20, 2025 12:00

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 4.5%

Previous: 4.5%

Source: Bank of England


BRANDED CONTENT

Finding a broker with low spreads can make a big difference in your trading success. Discover our top picks for low-spread brokers, each offering unique benefits to fit your strategy.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.