|

FX Today: Caution is set to prevail ahead of central bank meetings

The US Dollar (USD) has started the week on the back foot, trading with modest losses as investors remained hopeful of an eventual trade deal betweek the US and China. Prudence, in the meantime, kicked in ahead of a week packed with interest rate decisions by central banks.

Here’s what to watch on Tuesday, October 28:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) left behind two daily advances in a row on the back of mixed US Treasury yields and optimism over a potential US-China trade deal. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index is due, seconded by the Richmond Fed Manufacturing index, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, and the API’s weekly report on US crude oil stockpiles.

EUR/USD managed to keep alive its recovery, although the upside seems to have met some tough resistance around 1.1650 for now. Germany’s Consumer Confidence gauged by GfK is due, followed by the ECB’s Consumer Inflation Expectations survey.

GBP/USD regained a small smile, reversing six consecutive daily pullbacks and returning to the low-1.3300s in the meantime. The BoE’s Consumer Credit figures are expected alongside Mortgage Approvals, Mortgage Lending, M4 Money Supply and Net Lending to Individuals.

USD/JPY climbed to the vicinity of four-week highs north of the 153.00 barrier, up for the seventh day in a row. Next on tap in Japan will be Japan’s Consumer Confidence on October 29.

AUD/USD picked up a strong pace and rebounded to three-week tops, revisiting the 0.6560 zone. The Inflation Rate and the Monthly CPI Indicator will take centre stage on the Australian docket on October 29.

WTI traded with modest gains, briefly surpassing the $62.00 mark per barrel amid rising traders’ hopes of a US-China trade agreement.

Gold extended its deep retracement, sinking to three-week lows near $3,970 per troy ounce amid further profit-taking and steady US-China trade hopes. By the same token, Silver prices collapsed to the boundaries of the $46.00 mark per ounce, or four-week lows.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

EUR/USD flatlines above 1.1500, awaits US jobs data

EUR/USD holds steady around 1.1505 in European trading hours on Tuesday. Markets remain cautious ahead of a slew of US jobs data, starting with the JOLTS Job Openings Survey later today. However, the downside appears capped by hot Eurozone inflation in July, bolstering the case for a European Central Bank rate hike at the next meeting.

Gold holds steady above $4,050; hawkish Fed bets favor bearish traders

Gold remains confined in a range below the $4,100 mark through the early European session as traders opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis. Meanwhile, the uncertainty over US-Iran peace talks continues to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven US Dollar.

Aave: Bearish RSI divergence risks a 20% drop despite steady DeFi deposits

Aave (AAVE) extends a mild near-term recovery on Tuesday, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80. Aave protocol’s V3 deployment on Monad blockchain recorded over $500 million in deposits over the last month, reflecting increased user adoption.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.