|

Forex Today: Yen slips on risk-recovery, a dud BoJ, UK data, US NFP - Key

Asia today witnessed a recovery in risk sentiment, as attention shifted from the US tariffs news to the North Korean announcement, as the North’s leader Kim Jong-Un offers to suspend the nuclear missile program. The safe-haven Yen quickly lost its shine amid an improvement in risk condition, pushing USD/JPY to test the 107 handle. However, the sellers lurked at the last and drove the rates back towards the 106.60 region, with little reaction seen on the BoJ’s steady policy decision.

Both the Antipodeans looked to regain the bids following the release of upbeat Chinese CPI figures, but further upside appeared capped ahead of the US NFP release.  Among the other related markets, the Asian equities traded +0.20% to 0.40% higher while oil prices also defended minor bids. Gold prices on Comex traded below $ 1320 mark, down -0.24% so far.

Main topics in Asia

BoC's Lane: link between uncertainty and current policies - Reuters

North Korea's Kim Jong-un offers to suspend nuclear missile program, invites Trump to meet

China Commerce Ministry "resolutely opposes" latest US trade tariffs

Japan trade minister Seko - Retaliatory actions vs US tariffs won't have any benefit

Fed's George sees 'upside' risks, wants further rate hikes

PBOC’s Yi: Monetary policy decided by the domestic situation

BoJ keeps the steady course

Key Focus ahead

After an eventful Asian session, the fx traders are poised for a data-busy session ahead, with a flurry of macro news from the UK docket due on the cards. The UK sees the releases of the industrial and manufacturing production data alongside the good trade balance and construction output numbers. Meanwhile, the German trade and industrial figures will be eyed ahead of the EU open.

Moving on, the NA session offers the Canadian and US employment figures, with the US wage growth numbers eagerly awaited for the US interest rates outlook this year. The second tier US wholesale inventories data and rigs count data will wrap up the central banks’ events dominated busy week.

EUR/USD - yield differential hits new high & puts gain value ahead of US wage growth data

An above-forecast reading would boost the odds of a faster Fed tightening and could weigh over EUR/USD.

GBP/USD heads into NFP Friday trying to catch a bid from 1.38

Plenty of volatility is still to be expected for Friday's session as the USD undergoes its once-a-month Non-Farm Payrolls ritual. 

US: Expect nonfarm payrolls to increase by 210k in Feb – Goldman Sachs

Analysts at Goldman Sachs offer a brief preview of today’s key US labor market report due to be reported at 1330 GMT.  

Will Non-Farm Payrolls Drive EUR/USD to 1.22?

The U.S. dollar is trading higher ahead of the release and if the labor data is strong enough, it could take EUR/USD towards 1.22 and USD/JPY to 107.00. 

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Monday, Mar 05
24h
 
 
Friday, Mar 09
06:00
 
 
48.8%
06:30
 
 
07:00
 
0.5%
-0.6%
07:00
 
 
6.5%
07:00
 
0.3%
0.3%
07:00
 
€21.1B
€21.4B
07:00
 
 
€27.8B
07:00
 
0.0%
1.4%
09:30
 
 
2.9%
09:30
 
0.2%
0.3%
09:30
 
1.5%
-1.3%
09:30
 
1.8%
0.0%
09:30
 
2.8%
1.4%
09:30
 
 
£-4.896B
09:30
 
£-12.000B
£-13.576B
09:30
 
£-4.40B
£-5.18B
13:00
 
0.3%
0.5%
13:30
 
200K
200K
13:30
 
34.4
34.3
13:30
 
2.8%
2.9%
13:30
 
4.0%
4.1%
13:30
 
0.2%
0.3%
13:30
 
62.5%
62.7%
13:30
 
 
1.7%
13:30
 
85.2%
85.0%

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.