Forex Today: Will the BoE dare?

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

The unexpected rate hike by the BoJ surprised the FX world on Wednesday, while the Fed left its policy rate unchanged, although it signaled a potential rate cut in September. Next on tap comes the BoE, with odds split regarding a probable rate reduction.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 1:

The USD Index (DXY) suffered the BoJ-driven strength in the Japanese yen and the somewhat dovish message from Chief Powell after the Fed left rates unchanged, as anticipated. On August 1, the ISM Manufacturing PMI takes centre stage along with usual Initial Jobless Claims, Construction Spending and the final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI.

EUR/USD reversed part of the weekly retracement, revisiting once again the 1.0850 region. The final HCOB Manufacturing PMI in Germany and the EMU are due on August 1 seconded by the ECB Economic Bulletin and the Unemployment Rate in the euro bloc.

GBP/USD printed modest gains around 1.2850 amidst steady prudence pre-BoE and the weaker Dollar. On August 1, the BoE will decide on its policy rate. Additionally on the UK calendar, Nationwide Housing Prices are due followed by the final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI.

The surprising rate hike by the BoJ prompted USD/JPY to retreat sharply and breach the key 150.00 support, printing fresh four-month lows. On August 1, the only release of note in Japan will be the weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures.

AUD/USD lost further ground and broke below the 0.6500 support, opening the door to further losses in the very near term. The final Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI is expected on August 1 along with the Balance of Trade figures.

Finally, some respite for WTI prices came on the back of rising geopolitical concerns and another drop in weekly US crude oil inventories, all lifting prices back to the vicinity of the $78.00 mark per barrel.

Prices of Gold added to Tuesday’s advance and retested the $2,440 region per ounce troy. Silver followed suit, posting gains for the second straight session and approaching the $29.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.