|

Forex Today: US Dollar selloff pauses, eyes on Fedspeak, confidence data

Here is what you need to know on Friday, June 16:

The US Dollar (USD) suffered heavy losses against its major rivals on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) touching its weakest level in over a month near 102.00. The DXY consolidates its weekly losses early Friday as investors await comments from Federal Reserve officials. The University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment Survey for June will also be featured in the US economic docket. In the European session, Eurostat will release revisions to May inflation data.

The weekly Initial Jobless Claims in the US came in at 262,000 in the week ending June 10, surpassing the market expectation of 249,000. Other data from the US showed that Retail Sales rose 0.3% in May, while the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Manufacturing Survey dropped to -13.7 in June from -10.4 in May. Mixed US data triggered another leg of USD selloff during the American trading hours on Thursday.

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday that it raised key rates by 25 basis points (bps) as expected. The ECB revised inflation projections for inflation excluding energy and food, especially for 2023 and 2024, citing past upward surprises and implications of robust labour market for speed of disinflation.

In the post-meeting news conference, "bearing a material change to our baseline, it is very likely the case that we will continue to raise rates in July," ECB President Christine Lagarde said. Revisions to inflation alongside Lagarde's hawkish tone provided a boost to the Euro and EUR/USD advanced to its highest level in over a month above 1.0950 before retreating below that level early Friday.

In the Asian session, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) left its monetary policy setting unchanged. Commenting on the policy outlook, "responding to an inflation undershoot after a premature rate hike is more difficult than responding to an overshoot," Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said. USD/JPY gathered bullish momentum and was last seen gaining more than 0.5% on the day above 141.00.

GBP/USD capitalized on the broad USD weakness on Thursday and rose above 1.2800 for the first time since April 2022. In the European morning, the pair trades in a narrow range slightly above 1.2800.

Gold price rose sharply after falling to a three-month low below $1,930 on Thursday. Falling US Treasury bond yields provided a boost to XAU/USD and the pair snapped a four-day losing streak. Early Friday, Gold price continues to stretch higher and was last seen trading slightly above $1,960.

Following Wednesday's drop, Bitcoin gained nearly 2% on Thursday before settling at around $25,500 early Friday. Ethereum is struggling to gather recovery momentum and trading below $1,700 despite having registered small gains on Thursday.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high

Gold retreats toward $4,450 from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and loses more than 1% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to push lower.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.