|

Forex Today: The US Nonfarm Payrolls are coming!

The downtrend in the US Dollar gathered extra steam on Wednesday, fuelled by concerns over the US economy and some renewed hopes that the Trump administration could delay some planned tariffs.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 7:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) retreated further and breached the 104.00 support, hitting fresh multi-month lows. The release of the Nonfarm Payrolls will take centre stage along with the Unemployment Rate. In addition, the Fed’s Powell, Kugler, Bostic, Bowman, and Williams are all due to speak.

EUR/USD rose further and reached new 2025 peaks around the 1.0850 zone following the weaker Greenback and the ECB’s rate cut. Another estimate of Q4 GDP Growth Rate in the euro area is due followed by quarterly Employment Change prints and Germany’s Factory Orders. Additionally, the ECB’s Lagarde and Buch are expected to speak.

GBP/USD clocked new four-month highs north of 1.2900 the figure, although it eventually ended the day barely changing from Wednesday’s close. The Halifax House Price Index, and the BBA Mortgage Rate will be released, seconded by speeches by the BoE’s Mann.

USD/JPY dropped for the second straight day, this time slipping back to the 147.30 region, an area last traded in early October. Next on tap on the Japanese docket will be the Average Cash Earnings, Current Account, Bank Lending, the preliminary Coincident Index and the Leading Economic Index, as well as the Eco Watchers Survey, all due on March 10.

AUD/USD picked up further pace and reached multi-day highs near 0.6360, although running out of some impulse afterwards. The Westpac Consumer Confidence Index will be the next release on the Australian calendar on March 11.

WTI prices alternated gains with losses above the $66.00 mark per barrel amid OPEC+ plans, uncertainty around US tariffs and increasing US crude oil supplies.

Prices of Gold barely moved on Thursday, keeping the trade just above the $2,920 level per troy ounce amid some profit taking mood and rising US 10-year yields. Silver prices extended their march north to the $32.70 zone, or two-week tops.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).