|

Forex Today: No changes expected at the BoJ meeting

The US Dollar (USD) rose to new multi-week tops underpinned by firmer results from US fundamentals and the upbeat tone from Chair Powell at his press conference after the Federal Reserve left its interest rates the same, as largely expected.

Here's what to watch on Thursday, July 31:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose further and approached the 100.00 zone, or two-month peaks, amid rising yields, solid results from the US docket, and an upbeat tone from Chief Powell. The PCE is due alongside Personal Income/Spending, the Employment Cost Index, the Chicago PMI, Challenger Job Cuts, and the weekly Initial Jobless Claims.

EUR/USD retreated to new multi-week lows, coming closer to the 1.1400 support in response to the continuation of the upside impulse in the Greenback. The Unemployment Rate in the euro area is due, seconded by Germany’s flash Inflation Rate.

GBP/USD revisited the 1.3230 zone for the first time since early May against the backdrop of exacerbated selling pressure on the British pound and the extra advance in the US Dollar. Next on the UK calendar will be the Nationwide House Price Index and the final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI on August 1.

USD/JPY resumed its uptrend and advanced to three-month tops near 149.50, flirting at the same time with its key 200-day SMA. Next on tap in Japan will be the BoJ’s interest rate decision, Industrial Production, Retail Sales, and Foreign Bond Investment figures, all due on July 31 .

AUD/USD collapsed to five-week lows near 0.6420, where its provisional 100-day SMA sits, always following the strong performance of the Greenback. Retail Sales will be at the centre of the docket, seconded by Building Permits, Private House Approvals, and Import and Export Prices.

Crude oil prices picked up pace and surpassed the key $70.00 mark per barrel of WTI in response to further US-Russia effervescence and persistent trade jitters.

Gold prices resumed their downtrend and approached the $3,270 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday as investors gauged the recent set of strong data releases and prospects of a longer prudent stance from the Federal Reserve. Silver prices added to Tuesday’s pullback and flirted with three-week lows around $37.50 per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends weekly uptrend, trades above 1.3400

GBP/USD clings to moderate gains and holds above 1.3400 in the European session on Friday. The British Pound gains amid optimism on the UK government leadership transition and Bank of England rate hike bets. Meanwhile, the US Dollar loses ground on Middle East de-escalation and receding Fed rate hike expectations.

EUR/USD rises to 1.1450 area on softer USD

EUR/USD continues to edge higher in the European session on Friday and trades near 1.1450. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand as the US says they are committed to finding a diplomatic solution to end the conflict in the Middle East. Later in the day, the Federal Reserve will publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Gold seems vulnerable near $4,100 amid Fed hike bets and Iran risks

Gold touches a fresh low during the first half of the European session, with bears looking to extend the intraday descent further below the $4,100 mark. As investors digest Wednesday's less hawkish FOMC Minutes, the US Dollar bounces off over a one-week low, supported by prospects of a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike in 2026 and geopolitical uncertainties.

Canada Unemployment Rate forecast to remain unchanged in June

Markets are anticipating a fairly stable report when Statistics Canada releases its Labour Force Survey on Friday. While the Net Change in Employment is predicted to rise by 10K in June, adding to the 87.8K gain in May, the Unemployment Rate is forecast to stay at 6.6%.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.