|

Forex Today: Markets warm up for US inflation data

The Greenback added to recent gains and rose to fresh cycle highs backed by investors’ repricing of fewer (if any at all) interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, January 14:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) surpassed the 110.00 hurdle for the first time since November 2022, amid higher yields and speculation of just only one interest rate reduction by the Fed in the current year. The Producer Prices will take centre stage, seconded by the NFIB Business Optimism Index, and the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index. In addition, the Fed’s Schmid and Williams are expected to speak.

EUR/USD performed poorly and extended its bearish trend to the sub-1.0200 region against the backdrop of persistent upside pressure in the US Dollar. The speech by the ECB’s Lane will be the sole event on the euro calendar.

GBP/USD kept its downtrend well in place, revisiting the area below 1.2100 although managing to regain some balance afterwards. The BoE’s Breeden is due to speak.

USD/JPY clinched its third consecutive daily pullback on the back of extra appreciation of the Japanese Yen. The Eco Watchers Survey, Bank Lending figures and Current Account results are expected on the Japanese docket. In addition, the BoJ’s Himino is due to speak.

AUD/USD attempted a humble bounce after four days in a row of losses, although it remained under pressure and close to the 0.6100 region. The Westpac Consumer Confidence Index will be released along with final Building Permits and Private House Approvals.

Prices of the American WTI extended their auspicious monthly rebound and trespassed the $78.00 mark per barrel on further US sanctions to Russian oil.

Prices of Gold gave away part of their recent multi-day advance following the stronger Greenback and speculation of just one interest rate cut by the Fed this year. By the same token, Silver prices deflated to five-day lows, breaching the key support at the $30.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).