|

Forex Today: Markets warm up for US inflation data

The Greenback added to recent gains and rose to fresh cycle highs backed by investors’ repricing of fewer (if any at all) interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, January 14:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) surpassed the 110.00 hurdle for the first time since November 2022, amid higher yields and speculation of just only one interest rate reduction by the Fed in the current year. The Producer Prices will take centre stage, seconded by the NFIB Business Optimism Index, and the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index. In addition, the Fed’s Schmid and Williams are expected to speak.

EUR/USD performed poorly and extended its bearish trend to the sub-1.0200 region against the backdrop of persistent upside pressure in the US Dollar. The speech by the ECB’s Lane will be the sole event on the euro calendar.

GBP/USD kept its downtrend well in place, revisiting the area below 1.2100 although managing to regain some balance afterwards. The BoE’s Breeden is due to speak.

USD/JPY clinched its third consecutive daily pullback on the back of extra appreciation of the Japanese Yen. The Eco Watchers Survey, Bank Lending figures and Current Account results are expected on the Japanese docket. In addition, the BoJ’s Himino is due to speak.

AUD/USD attempted a humble bounce after four days in a row of losses, although it remained under pressure and close to the 0.6100 region. The Westpac Consumer Confidence Index will be released along with final Building Permits and Private House Approvals.

Prices of the American WTI extended their auspicious monthly rebound and trespassed the $78.00 mark per barrel on further US sanctions to Russian oil.

Prices of Gold gave away part of their recent multi-day advance following the stronger Greenback and speculation of just one interest rate cut by the Fed this year. By the same token, Silver prices deflated to five-day lows, breaching the key support at the $30.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).