|

Forex Today: Markets turn choppy ahead of key events

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, August 24:

After having snapped a four-day winning streak on disappointing data releases on Tuesday, the US Dollar Index (DXY) started to edge higher in the early European morning on Wednesday. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the market action turns choppy with investors remaining cautious ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium later this week. In the second half of the day, July Pending Home Sales and Durable Goods Orders data will be featured in the US economic docket. Meanwhile, US stock index futures post modest losses and the 10-year US Treasury bond yield continues to fluctuate above 3%.

On Tuesday, the data from the US revealed that the business activity in the private sector continued to contract in August with the S&P Global Composite PMI dropping to 45 from 47.7 in July. Other data showed that New Home Sales declined by 12.6% in July following June's contraction of 7.1%. The dollar lost interest after these data and the DXY lost nearly 0.5% on a daily basis. Nevertheless, the CME Group FedWatch Tool shows that markets are still pricing in a 51.5% probability of a 75 basis points rate hike in September. 

Several news outlets reported on Tuesday that OPEC+ may lean towards oil output cuts when and if Iranian production returns depending on the revival of the nuclear deal. Crude oil prices continued to push higher and the barrel of West Texas Intermediate gained 3.5% before settling near $94.00.

EUR/USD staged a rebound and tried to reclaim parity after having dropped to its weakest level in nearly 20 years at around 0.9900 on Tuesday. The pair, however, failed to gather bullish momentum and retreated toward 0.9950 early Wednesday.

GBP/USD gained more than 50 pips on Tuesday and went into a consolidation phase above 1.1800 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The pair trades in a relatively tight channel so far on the day.

USD/JPY fell sharply during the American session on Tuesday but the rebound witnessed in the 10-year US Treasury bond yield helped it erase a large portion of its daily losses. The pair moves sideways above 136.50 on Wednesday.

Gold capitalized on the broad-based selling pressure surrounding the greenback and registered daily gains for the first time since August 12. XAU/USD is struggling to find direction as it moves up and down in a narrow channel below $1,750.

Bitcoin is having a difficult time making a decisive move in either direction and is trading near the mid-$21,000s. Ethereum registered modest daily gains on Tuesday but it's already down more than 1% on the day near $1,600 early Wednesday.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,000 as traders brace for Fed interest rate decision

Gold edges higher during American trading hours on Tuesday after trading in negative territory earlier in the day. A slight decline in Oil prices offers some relief, although a firmer USD limits the upside as traders await the Fed’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP on edge as sell-side pressure intensifies

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly correcting on Tuesday, led by Bitcoin (BTC) edging lower below the pivotal $80,000 level. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bearish outlook, while Ripple (XRP) hovers around $1.30.

Experts agree: Fed policy outlook and geopolitical tensions keep US Dollar bid

The US Dollar Index rallies 0.6% in three days and hits fresh two-week highs above 102.00. Investors return to the US Dollar as markets brace for a hawkish hold by the Fed on Wednesday. Waning hopes of any immediate US-Iran peace deal have provided additional support to the safe-haven USD.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.