|

Forex Today: Markets turn cautious, focus remains on central bank speak

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, August 8:

Following Monday's choppy action, markets turned cautious on Tuesday. Supported by safe-haven flows, the US Dollar gathered strength against its rivals to begin the European session. Investors will continue to keep a close eye on comments from central bankers. Later in the day, the US economic docket will feature Goods Trade Balance data for June and IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index for August.

In the Asian session, the data from China revealed that the trade surplus expanded to $80.6 billion in July from $70.6 billion in June. On a concerning note, however, Exports and Imports declined by 14.5% and 12.4% on a yearly basis, respectively. Meanwhile, Moody's announced late Monday that it cut credit ratings of 10 small to mid-sized US banks. Reflecting the souring market mood, US stock index futures trade in negative territory early Tuesday.

US Dollar price today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPCADAUDJPYNZDCHF
USD 0.21%0.23%0.46%0.79%0.37%0.81%0.14%
EUR-0.21% 0.02%0.27%0.59%0.16%0.59%-0.08%
GBP-0.24%-0.01% 0.23%0.57%0.13%0.56%-0.10%
CAD-0.47%-0.25%-0.21% 0.36%-0.08%0.35%-0.32%
AUD-0.81%-0.59%-0.57%-0.34% -0.43%0.02%-0.67%
JPY-0.38%-0.15%-0.11%0.07%0.45% 0.44%-0.24%
NZD-0.80%-0.59%-0.57%-0.34%0.00%-0.43% -0.67%
CHF-0.13%0.07%0.09%0.33%0.66%0.24%0.67% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/JPY (quote).

EUR/USD recovered above 1.1000 in the early European morning but failed to preserve its bullish momentum. At the time of press, the pair was trading in negative territory below 1.0980.

GBP/USD came within a touching distance of 1.2700 in the European session on Monday but managed to end the day in positive territory as the USD lost its strength during the American trading hours. After encountering resistance at 1.2800, however, the pair retreated to the 1.2750 area on Tuesday.

AUD/USD came under heavy bearish pressure following the disappointing Chinese data in the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair continues to push lower and trades within a touching distance of the two-month low it set at 0.6513 last week. Similarly, NZD/USD is down 0.8% so far on the day and trades at its lowest level since late June at around 0.6050.

USD/JPY registered modest gains on Monday and preserved its bullish momentum on Tuesday, The pair was last seen trading a few pips above 143.00. The data from Japan showed earlier in the day that the Eco Watchers Survey - Outlook improved to 54.1 in July from 52.8 in June.

Gold price stays on the back foot and fluctuate near $1,930 after posting small daily losses on Monday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down nearly 2% on the day at around 4%, helping XAU/USD limit its losses for the time being.

Bitcoin continues to fluctuate near $29,000 and Ethereum moves sideways at around $1,800.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed

EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3330 as traders await Fed rate decision

The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band, around the 1.3320-1.3325 region, during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, remain close to the highest level since October 22, touched last Thursday, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength and acceptance above the 100-day Simple Moving Average before placing fresh bets.

Gold drifts higher above $4,200 on Fed rate cut expectations

Gold price trades in positive territory near $4,205 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal edges higher as markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its December meeting on Wednesday. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.