|

Forex Today: Markets stay calm to start the week full of high-tier events

Here is what you need to know on Monday, March 6:

Financial markets stay relatively calm early Monday as investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of this week's key events. February Retail Sales data will be featured in the European economic docket and January Factory Orders from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus later. FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell will testify on policy before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday and before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday.

The positive shift witnessed in risk sentiment late Friday made it difficult for the US Dollar to find demand and the US Dollar Index (DXY) closed the last day of the week in negative territory. In the European morning, the DXY moves sideways at around 104.50 and the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays below 4%. US stock index futures trade modestly higher on the day, reflecting a cautious atmosphere.

EUR/USD managed to register small gains last week on the back of Friday's rebound. The pair fluctuates in a tight range at around 1.0650 early Monday. Although European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde reiterated in her latest public appearance that a 50 basis points in March is highly likely, ECB policymaker Centeno said on Monday that the decision on the size of the next rate increase must be based on data. "Interest rates have risen too fast," Centeno added and argued that the ECB should not rush to conclusions very fast.

Following last week's choppy action, GBP/USD seems to have stabilized above 1.2000 early Monday. Investors keep a close eye on Brexit-related headlines.

AUD/USD is having a difficult time making a decisive move in either direction on Monday. In the Asian session on Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its policy decisions. Reuters' estimate suggests that the RBA is expected to lift its key rate to 3.6% from 3.25%. 

USD/JPY declined below 136.00 late Friday and closed the previous week virtually unchanged. The pair moves sideways near 135.50 early Monday.

Gold price capitalized on retreating US Treasury bond yields late last week and ended up snapping a four-week losing streak. XAU/USD holds steady above $1,850 on Monday.

Following Friday's sharp decline, Bitcoin spent the weekend in a very tight channel. BTC/USD remains quiet on Monday and was last seen trading flat on the day at around $22,400. Ethereum struggled to stage a rebound over the weekend and lost nearly 5% last week. Ethereum moves sideways near $1,550 in the European morning. 

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.