Forex Today: Kiwi – a big mover in Asia, Eurozone final CPI on tap


The US tax reform optimism induced risk-on moods extended into Asia, pushing the Treasury yields higher alongside the Asian equities. However, the US dollar failed to extend its Friday’s recovery and somewhat stabilized, as the NZD bulls benefited the most from it. The Kiwi ignored mixed NZ services PMI and consumer confidence data, as the unwinding of shorts continued heading into the NZ Q4 GDP release due later this week. The Aussie traded with mild gains on the back of slightly upbeat Australia’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) and the recent rally in copper prices. Meanwhile, the Yen remained bettered offered, despite surging Japanese exports and trade surplus.

Main topics in Asia

CME officially launches Bitcoin futures trading

The waiting is over, with Bitcoin futures now officially trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Japanese exports grew for a 12th straight month in November

Japanese exports rose for a twelfth straight month in November on the back of buoyant overseas demand and the confidence among nation’s biggest manufacturers is at an 11-year high.

Australia MYEFO: Real GDP growth to rise as the drag from mining investment diminishes

Australia Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) released today says the real GDP is seen rising as the drag from the mining investment diminishes.

PBOC raises 14-day reverse repo rate by 5 bps to 2.65%

Having raised the MLF, SLF and reverse repurchase agreements last week in a surprise move after Fed, the Chinese central bank (PBOC) raised interest rates on RR, used for open market operations by 5 basis points for the 14-day tenor on Monday.      

Aus Treasurer Morrison: No real pressure on cash rate to slow housing market

Reuters reports the latest comments from the Australian treasurer Scott Morrison, speaking in a BTV interview.

Key Focus ahead

The European calendar remains data-light, as we kick-off a brand new week, with the only final CPI data to be reported ahead of the German Bundesbank monthly economic report. Meanwhile, the UK docket will see the release of the CBI industrial order expectations numbers. The NA session also sees a quiet start to a big week ahead, with the Canadian foreign securities purchases and US NAHB Housing Market Index data to be released.

EUR/USD bounces in Asia, eyes EZ CPI, US tax vote for fresh impetus

Fresh bids emerged for the EUR/USD pair near 1.1740 levels in early trades, which prompted a bounce back above the 50-DMA support-turned-resistance at 1.1750, as the bulls fight back control kicking-off a brand new week.

GBP/USD - Yield differential favors USD, bull flag on charts

GBP/USD fell sharply on Friday from 1.3448 to 1.3301 as US tax optimism strengthened the bid tone around the US dollar.

This week's key data in the US and Europe - ING

ING’s view on this week’s key data and events in the United States and the Eurozone can be found below, with the team concluding that as policy stands, they look for three 25bp interest rate increases by the Fed in 2018.

What to expect from this week's US economic data? - Nomura

The Economics Team at Nomura expects the US data over the next several weeks, including the present one, to highlight continued momentum in economic growth to close out 2017.

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Monday, Dec 18
n/a
 
 
1.34%
10:00
 
0.2%
-0.1%
10:00
 
1.0%
0.9%
10:00
 
1.5%
1.5%
10:00
 
0.1%
0.1%
n/a
 
 
11:00
 
14
17
13:30
 
 
$2.41B
13:30
 
 
$16.81B
15:00
 
70
70
16:30
 
 
1.32%
16:30
 
 
1.46%
21:00
 
 
112.4
Tuesday, Dec 19
00:00
 
 
6.5%
00:30
 
 
0.1%
00:30
 
 
00:30
 
 
04:30
 
 
-0.5%
08:00
 
110.5
111.0
08:00
 
117.5
117.5
08:00
 
124.7
124.4
10:00
 
2.0%
1.8%
10:00
 
1.1%
3.1%
10:00
 
0.1%
0.1%
13:30
 
-4.9%
5.9%

 

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