|

Forex Today: Energy crisis, higher yields lift dollar, ADP jobs, debt ceiling headlines eyed

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, October 6:

The market mood has soured on Wednesday after a positive Tuesday. Surging energy costs and a break higher in US yields are hitting stocks bidding the dollar, even against the kiwi, where a rate hike failed to help. ADP's jobs data is eyed after the upbeat ISM Services PMI. Debt ceiling and stimulus headlines are eyed. Cryptos are up, gold is stable.

Energy crisis: WTI Crude Oil tops $79, the highest since 2014 in another response to the OPEC+ decision to limit production increases and no surplus elsewhere. Natural gas prices extend their meteoric rise in Europe and threaten to cripple the recovery. Several European governments want to coordinate policy.

US 10-year Treasury yields have hit 1.57%, the highest since June, and that benefits the US dollar., alongside safe-haven flows 

EUR/USD has slipped back below 1.16 ahead of eurozone retail sales. GBP//USD is struggling around 1.36 ahead of UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson's speech on his vision for the country. The British army continues helping bring petrol to stations. 

NZD/USD is trading around 0.6920, down amid greenback strength and despite a rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The RBNZ's increase of borrowing costs from 0.25% to 0.50% was fully priced in, and the kiwi suffered from the bank's signal of cautious moves down the road. 

US data: The ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index for September surprised to the upside with 61.9 points and robust subcomponents. The news underpinned equities on Tuesday before the mood soured. The focus on Wednesday is ADP's private-sector jobs report for September, which serves as a significant hint toward Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls. Contrary to previous months, ADP's statistics foresaw the broad trend last time. 

See US ADP Employment Change September Preview: Yes, its all about the Fed

US politics: The clock continues ticking toward the US hitting its debt ceiling in mid-October, and President Joe Biden floated the idea of ditching the Senate filibuster to break the deadlock, as Republicans remain reluctant to prevent a default on debt. Democrats continue clashing on the broad spending bill, with some reports it could come down from $3.5 to roughly $2 trillion. 

Cryptocurrencies advanced on Wednesday, with Bitcoin jumping above $50,000 and changing hands at above $51,000 at the time of writing. Ethereum is hovering around $3,500 and Shiba Inu continues standing out after a tweet from Tesla's Elon Musk earlier in the week. 

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.