|

Forex Today: Energy crisis, higher yields lift dollar, ADP jobs, debt ceiling headlines eyed

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, October 6:

The market mood has soured on Wednesday after a positive Tuesday. Surging energy costs and a break higher in US yields are hitting stocks bidding the dollar, even against the kiwi, where a rate hike failed to help. ADP's jobs data is eyed after the upbeat ISM Services PMI. Debt ceiling and stimulus headlines are eyed. Cryptos are up, gold is stable.

Energy crisis: WTI Crude Oil tops $79, the highest since 2014 in another response to the OPEC+ decision to limit production increases and no surplus elsewhere. Natural gas prices extend their meteoric rise in Europe and threaten to cripple the recovery. Several European governments want to coordinate policy.

US 10-year Treasury yields have hit 1.57%, the highest since June, and that benefits the US dollar., alongside safe-haven flows 

EUR/USD has slipped back below 1.16 ahead of eurozone retail sales. GBP//USD is struggling around 1.36 ahead of UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson's speech on his vision for the country. The British army continues helping bring petrol to stations. 

NZD/USD is trading around 0.6920, down amid greenback strength and despite a rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The RBNZ's increase of borrowing costs from 0.25% to 0.50% was fully priced in, and the kiwi suffered from the bank's signal of cautious moves down the road. 

US data: The ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index for September surprised to the upside with 61.9 points and robust subcomponents. The news underpinned equities on Tuesday before the mood soured. The focus on Wednesday is ADP's private-sector jobs report for September, which serves as a significant hint toward Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls. Contrary to previous months, ADP's statistics foresaw the broad trend last time. 

See US ADP Employment Change September Preview: Yes, its all about the Fed

US politics: The clock continues ticking toward the US hitting its debt ceiling in mid-October, and President Joe Biden floated the idea of ditching the Senate filibuster to break the deadlock, as Republicans remain reluctant to prevent a default on debt. Democrats continue clashing on the broad spending bill, with some reports it could come down from $3.5 to roughly $2 trillion. 

Cryptocurrencies advanced on Wednesday, with Bitcoin jumping above $50,000 and changing hands at above $51,000 at the time of writing. Ethereum is hovering around $3,500 and Shiba Inu continues standing out after a tweet from Tesla's Elon Musk earlier in the week. 

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.