|

Forex Today: Dollar’s rally continues and is far from over

What you need to know on Thursday, November 25:

Demand for the greenback persisted after a batch of US data hinted at stubbornly high inflationary pressures and soon-to-come Federal Reserve action to counter its effects on the economy.

On Wednesday, market participants knew that US inflation soared to its highest in 30-years in October, according to the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index report. Also, the FOMC published the Minutes of its November meeting. The document showed that policymakers believe they should be prepared to adjust the pace of the asset purchases tapering and raise the target range for the federal funds rate sooner than currently anticipated should inflation continue to run hot. Still, the market’s reaction was quite limited as there were no surprises in the statement.

The EUR/USD pair trades below the 1.1200 figure, hit by local data and ECB’s inaction. Germany published the November IFO survey, which showed that the Business Climate contracted to 96.5, falling for a fifth consecutive month, while Germany published the November IFO survey, which showed that the Business Climate contracted to 96.5, falling for a fifth consecutive month noted that the central bank   must not tighten monetary policy too early in response to an inflation spike driven by “purely temporary factors.”

Another factor hitting the EUR and the market’s mood, in general, is the resurgent spread of coronavirus in Europe. Several countries are taking fresh restrictive measures and studying making vaccines mandatory.  

GBP/USD came under renewed bearish pressure and dropped to the current 1.3320 region.  Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Silvana Tenreyro said on Wednesday that she would not want to say specifically if the BOE would make its first rate hike in either December or February. Instead, she prefers a “modest” tightening of the monetary policy.

The USD/JPY pair reached a fresh 2021 high of 115.51, holding nearby at the end of the day. Commodity-linked currencies shed ground unevenly, with AUD/USD now trading below 0.7200 and USD/CAD at around 1.2670.

Global stocks traded in a dull fashion, with European and American indexes mixed around their opening levels.

US Treasury yields are ending the day with modest losses. Nevertheless, the yield on the 10-year note peaked at 1.693%, retreating from the critical 1.70% threshold.

Gold is modestly lower on a daily basis, now trading around $1,785 a troy ounce. Crude oil prices eased modestly, with WTI currently at $78.25 a barrel.

Bitcoin could dodge a steep correction if BTC holds above this price level


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.