Forex today: dollar mixed despite higher yields

Forex today was mixed for the dollar while the DXY traded between 98.695 - 99.215 and currently -0.27% on the day so far.

Despite US 10 years recovering above the 2.30% psychological mark, moving between a range of 2.2659% - 2.3412% and up 2.92% on the day, the dollar was unable to fend off the euro, sterling, cad bulls and was only modestly higher than the worst performer of late being the kiwi.

The euro is up 0.63% while trading in a range between 1.0851 - 1.0950, sterling was up 0.29% and trading between 1.2775 - 1.2846 on the day. The Canadia dollar is down 0.48% vs the dollar but made advances from the highs of 1.3627 down to 1.3493 currently. The antipodeans were holding their own vs the greenback but to a lesser extent and in the consolidation of the recent supply.

The fundamentals behind these moves were around the ECB being expected to remove some of the downside risks associated with the Fench elections and a potentially less dovish outcome boosted the euro. Then, we look to Trump. Trump is in focus this week as he approaches the end of his first 100 days and thus keen to being his promised policies to fruition. However, the tariffs imposed on Canadian lumber and question marks over other global trade deals is harming the commodity currencies such as the CAD.

The day ahead

For the day ahead, we look to Aussie CPI as the next key event. Most market participants expect a pickup in underlying inflation from 1.55% to 1.85%/yr. "We are a pip higher but shouldn’t be market moving since the February RBA projections assumed 2%/yr by mid-year," explained analysts at TD Securities.

Key US events:

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