|

Forex Today: Dollar keeps its footing after NFP-inspired rebound

Here is what you need to know on Monday, February 7:

The greenback is staying resilient against its rivals at the start of the week following Friday's rebound, which was fueled by the upbeat January US jobs report. There won't be any high-tier macroeconomic data releases on Monday and major currency pairs are likely to move sideways. US stock index futures are trading flat and the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays calm near 1.9% early Monday, pointing to a neutral market mood.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 467,000 in January. This print surpassed the market expectation of 150,000 by a wide margin. Additionally, the publication revealed that the annual wage inflation, as measured by the Average hourly Earnings, jumped to 5.7% from 5% in December, beating analysts' estimate of 5.2%. Supported by these figures, the US Dollar Index snapped a five-day losing streak on Friday. The index is clinging to small daily gains above 95.50 on Monday.

NFP Quick Analysis: America overcomes Omicron, more fuel for the Fed and the dollar

EUR/USD retreated modestly from multi-week highs on Friday but ended up gaining more than 300 pips on a weekly basis. The pair is trading in a tight range below 1.1450 heading into the European session.

GBP/USD stays above 1.3500 following Friday's decline. The Bank of England adopted a cautious tone on the UK economic outlook following the rate hike decision, limiting the pound's upside.

USD/JPY capitalized on rising US Treasury bond yields last week and climbed above 115.00. The pair posts small daily gains near 115.30.

Gold continues to trade above $1,800 after closing the previous week in the positive territory. In case US T-bond yields start to retreat, XAU/USD could gather bullish momentum.

Bitcoin climbed above $40,000 on Friday and spent the weekend in a consolidation phase. BTC/USD continues to push higher early Monday and was last seen trading at $42,700. Ethereum closed the previous four trading days in the green and reclaimed $3,000 at the start of the week.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength to near 1.1550 ahead of ECB rate decision

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory near 1.1540 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. Rising bets that the European Central Bank will deliver a rate hike at its June policy meeting later on Thursday underpin the Euro against the Greenback. 


GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite rising Fed hike bets

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid rising expectations for higher-for-longer US interest rates. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the US Producer Price Index report.

Gold holds below $4,100 after rebounding from seven-month lows

Gold clings to moderate gains in Asia on Thursday, following its rebound from the lowest level since November 2025 at $4,024. Renewed US-Iran hostilities push Crude Oil prices higher, reviving inflationary concerns and bolstering hawkish Fed bets. This continues to drive flows away from the non-yielding bullion, though subdued US Dollar demand helps spot prices to find some support.

Bitcoin faces further downside risk amid growing short-term holder losses, weak ETF demand

Bitcoin's recent decline toward the $60,000 level has pushed the market further into bearish territory, with new investors suffering huge unrealized losses, according to a Glassnode report on Wednesday. The firm noted that Bitcoin's earlier May rally now appears increasingly as a "bear bounce".

From sizzle to fizzle: Tech sinks as Oil puts the Fed tail back on the table
Wall Street was not hit by one punch. It was caught between three swinging doors at the same time: a renewed technology unwind, a fresh geopolitical oil bid, and a wave of equity supply that is starting to look less like capital formation and more like a liquidity test for the entire AI complex.
The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.