|

Forex Today: Dollar gains as stocks slide and metals tumble

Markets will be cautious as they await Chinese inflation data during the Asian session. Additionally, New Zealand's Electronic Card Retail Sales data and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's inflation expectations for the third quarter will be released. Japan's upcoming data includes Machine Tool Orders for July.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, August 9:

Weaker-than-expected Chinese trade data has made markets cautious. Moody's downgrade of US banks has also weighed on risk sentiment. Adding to the negative sentiment was Italy’s announcement of a surprise windfall tax on bank profits. Fitch downgraded credit ratings for mid-size and small US lenders and warned about potential cuts to larger institutions.

The first round of Treasury auctions after the quarterly refunding announcement went well, with strong supply seen in the 52-week bill and 3-year note auctions. On Wednesday, the US will sell 10-year notes. US Treasury yields dropped, with the 10-year testing levels below 4.0% and the 2-year at 4.75%. Attention is focused on the July CPI report, to be released on Thursday.

Federal Reserve's Harker affirmed on Tuesday that he believes the central bank may be at a point where it can be patient and hold rates steady. He added that "sometime probably next year, we'll start cutting interest rates."

Following the negative trade data surprise, China will report July inflation on Wednesday. The Consumer Price Index is expected to decline 0.4% from a year earlier, and the Producer Price Index is forecast to fall to 4.1%.

The announcement of Italy's bank tax weighed on the Euro. The EUR/USD reached a bottom at 1.0927 and then rebounded, rising towards 1.0960, but the overall bias remains bearish.

GBP/USD trimmed losses during the American session, rising from below 1.2700 to 1.2750. Key UK GDP data is due on Friday.

USD/JPY rose despite lower government bond yields and risk aversion, reflecting a stronger US Dollar. The pair advanced for the second consecutive day, climbing back above 143.00. Japan will report Machine Tool Orders for July.

USD/CAD jumped, reaching levels above 1.3500, but then pulled back, approaching 1.3400. Canada will report June Building Permits.

Chinese growth concerns weighed on the Aussie and the Kiwi. NZD/USD reached a bottom at 0.6033, the lowest level in two months, and then rebounded to 0.6060. Earlier on Wednesday, Electronic Car Sales for July are due in New Zealand. Later in the day, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will release its inflation expectations report.

AUD/USD fell to the lowest level in two months below 0.6500, and then, as the US Dollar weakened, it rose to 0.6550.

USD/MXN spiked to 19.28 and then pulled back toward 17.05, erasing gains as the Mexican Peso remains resilient. Mexico will report inflation on Wednesday.

It was a volatile session for crude oil prices. After a sharp decline during the Asian and European sessions, amid risk aversion, with WTI falling below $80.00, it rebounded and climbed back to the $83.00 area following an announcement from Saudi Arabia that it will continue boosting precautionary efforts to support the stability of the oil market.

Gold posted its lowest close in a month at $1,924 as it remains under pressure despite falling US yields. Silver continues to decline and broke below $23.00.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains offered; supported by 0.7100

AUD/USD adds to Monday’s retracement, although it manages well to keep the trade above the 0.7100 yardstick ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Once again, the softer tone in spot follows decent gains in the Greenback amid rising bets for a Fed rate hike on Wednesday.

USD/JPY extends gains toward 155.00 amid USD resurgence

USD/JPY keeps pushing higher toward 155.00 early Tuesday, looking for more upside, as traders await the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week. Meanwhile, Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation risks keep US bond yields near multi-year highs, supporting the US Dollar and the pair. That said, a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ normalization path might continue to underpin the Japanese Yen and could limit USD/JPY's upside. .

Gold set to fall toward $4,000 as Warsh faces a Fed rate-hike dilemma

As the Federal Reserve monetary policy announcement approaches and the Middle East war intensifies, the US Dollar resumes its advance. Gold price posted a tepid attempt to recover its shine in early August, but with renewed USD demand, the bright metal faltered miserably and is now closer to the $4,000 mark than the encouraging $4,700 peak from a month ago.


Bitcoin pulls back as valuation ceilings hold while XAU weakness persists
Bitcoin (BTC) corrects alongside the broader cryptocurrency market on Tuesday as selling persists ahead of the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision. Market participants expect the central bank to raise interest rates to 3.75%-4.00% on Wednesday, potentially weighing on risk assets.
How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.