|

Forex Today: Coronavirus devastates Chinese markets, Boris pressures the pound, US data eyed

Here is what you need to know on Monday, February 3:

Coronavirus news: The number of official cases has topped 17,000, and the death toll is around 360. The first death outside China has been reported, and additional airlines have limited flights to the mainland. Testing kits have improved, and medicine used for HIV may help in curing the virus. The worst is probably still ahead. 

Coronavirus market response: Chinese markets have reopened after the New Year's holiday with a sharp downfall, carrying down prices of metals. The People's Bank of China cut interest rates on reverse repos and took other measures to stabilize markets. US stock futures are pointing to recovery after a sharp selloff on Friday. The yuan is down 1%, while USD/JPY has stabilized around 108.50. Gold is trading around $1,580, off the highs. The US dollar is generally stable on Monday after a significant drop on Friday. 

Oil prices are also on the back foot amid the outbreak, with a potential fall of 20% in Chinese petrol imports and Citi seeing a $15 drop in prices. OPEC and non-OPEC members are watching the situation closely.

Brexit: Prime Minister Boris Johnson is set to present his vision for future EU-UK relations after Britain officially left on Friday. He will reportedly propose "walking away" from talks if they fail to work according to plan. Johnson aims for a Canada-style trade agreement. GBP/USD is on the back foot.

Eurozone: Markit's final Purchasing Managers' Indexes for January are expected to confirm slower contraction in the old continent. 

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI is forecast to recover in January from the low of 47.2 recorded in December. The industry is struggling while the services sector, which is growing at a rapid clip. The figure serves as the first hint toward the Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday. 

See US Manufacturing PMI Preview: Trade takes back seat to the virus

Cryptocurrencies are consolidating their recent gains, with Ripple standing out by topping $0.25.

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays firm near 1.3350 amid easing Mideast tensions

GBP/USD builds on Friday's modest bounce from a three-week low and gains strong follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week on Monday. This marks the second straight day of gains, with the major trading near 1.3350 in European trading amid a pause in the Middle East conflict and a broadly weaker US Dollar. Traders brace for the Fed and BoE policy announcements later in the week.

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.1400 as USD slips on Iran diplomacy hopes

EUR/USD holds sizeable gains near the 1.1400 mark in the European session on Monday. The intraday strength is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar, weighed down by renewed optimism over a diplomatic resolution to end a five-month-old US-Iran war.

Gold stands firm on US-Iran diplomacy hopes, reduced Fed hike bets; bulls lack conviction
Gold (XAU/USD) continues with its struggle to capitalize on a modest gap-up opening beyond the $4,100 mark through the early European session on Monday as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the crucial FOMC meeting this week. Heading into the key central bank event, reviving hopes for a diplomatic resolution to end a five-month-old US-Iran war led to a steep fall in crude oil prices.
Cardano: Under pressure as bearish derivatives cap recovery

Cardano remains under pressure, trading lower at $0.165 on Monday after mild losses in the previous week. Weakening derivatives metrics and subdued momentum indicators suggest that ADA's upside move remains limited, keeping downside risks in focus. Derivatives data for Cardano shows bearish sentiment among traders.

Australian Dollar outlook: Chances of another rally won’t be decided in Canberra, but in Washington

The Australian Dollar rode a rollercoaster in the first half of the year, hitting a four-year high and then correcting. The currency enters the second half with an outlook full of uncertainty due to renewed hostilities in the Middle East, which clouds the inflation outlook and interest rates.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.