|

Forex Today: Aussie weaker on Aus jobs, China data dump in focus

Forex today remained in a wait-and-see mode, with most majors consolidating the overnight moves while awaiting the Chinese macro releases. The Aussie nursed losses amid mixed Aus jobs data. The Yen traded better offered, as the US extended rebound across the board.

Amongst the commodities, oil prices traded firmer on bullish API crude inventory report while gold prices kept losses below $ 1330 levels amid higher Treasury yields and positive Asian equities.

Main topics in Asia

Australia December employment change beats estimates, jobless rate ticks higher

The data released by Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed the economy added 34.7K jobs in December vs. forecast of 9K. 

BoJ officials reported as saying current stimulus is needed for now

Bloomberg quoted an unnamed Bank of Japan (BoJ) official as saying that the current is needed for now while adding that the market is getting ahead of itself.

White House Official: Congress will pass a stopgap bill to keep government funded

According to the White House Chief of Staff Kelly, the US Congress will pass a stopgap bill to avert a government shutdown, Reuters reports.

China's holdings of US treasuries fell to 4-month low in November

China’s holdings of US Treasuries fell to $1.176 trillion in November, its lowest in four months.

South Korean regulator considering shutting down all virtual currency exchanges

Reuters reports the latest headlines, citing that the South Korean regulator is said to consider shutting down all virtual currency exchanges.

Key Focus ahead

We have all-important China’s Q4 GDP release accompanied by the country’s industrial production and retail sales data, which will be reported at 0700 GMT (delayed by the source) while the EUR calendar remains data-empty. Hence, most majors will closely track the USD dynamics and risk trends ahead of the US building permits, housing starts, unemployment claims and Philly Fed manufacturing Index, all of which are due on the cards at 1330 GMT. Also in focus remains the German Bundesbank Chief Weidmann’s speech and EIA crude oil inventories data.

EUR/USD: Will buyers regain control above 1.2200?

The EUR/USD pair staged a solid comeback in Asia, having reversed from four-day lows of 1.2165. However, sellers continued to lurk just ahead of the 1.22 handle, leaving the rates in a consolidative phase below the last.

GBP/USD - Rising risk reversals contradict widening 10Y US-UK yield spread

Currently, GBP/USD trades at 1.3812 - down more than 100 pips from the previous day's high of 1.3943. The long upper shadow of yesterday's candle could be read as a sign of bull market exhaustion.

When is China Q4 GDP and how could it affect the AUD/USD?

China is set to publish the gross domestic product (GDP) for the fourth quarter at 07:00 GMT. 

China: Key economic events today - Barclays

The Barclays Research Team is out with a brief preview of their expectations on the upcoming Chinese macro releases due to be reported at 7GMT today.

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Thursday, Jan 18
07:00
 
10.1%
10.2%
07:00
 
6.0%
6.1%
07:00
 
 
07:00
 
7.1%
7.2%
07:00
 
6.7%
6.8%
07:00
 
1.6%
1.7%
08:15
 
 
13:30
 
 
3.3%
13:30
 
1.290M
1.298M
13:30
 
1.275M
1.297M
13:30
 
-1.0%
-1.4%
13:30
 
250K
261K
13:30
 
1.900M
1.867M
13:30
 
25.0
26.2
14:30
 
 
15:30
 
-201B
-359B
16:00
 
-3.588M
-4.948M
n/a
 
 
2.579%
Friday, Jan 19
07:00
 
 
0.1%
07:00
 
 
2.5%
n/a
 
 
€35.9B
09:00
 
 
€30.8B
09:30
 
0.0%
1.2%
09:30
 
2.1%
1.6%
09:30
 
2.7%
1.5%

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,300

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.