|

Fed’s Logan: There still are real upside risks to inflation

Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lorie Logan argued on Wednesday that she had supported last month's substantial interest-rate cut but favoured smaller reductions going forward. She highlighted that there were "still real" upside risks to inflation and pointed to "meaningful uncertainties" surrounding the economic outlook.

Key Quotes

'More gradual path' on rate cuts is likely appropriate from here.
Upside risks to inflation mean the Fed should not rush to reduce rates.
Lowering the policy rate gradually would allow time to judge how restrictive monetary policy may or may not be.  
Normalizing policy gradually also allows fed to 'best balance' labour market risks.
Policy not 'preset,' Fed must remain nimble.
Supported the Fed's decision to begin normalizing policy by cutting the policy rate.
Less restrictive policy will help avoid cooling the labour market more than necessary.
Progress on inflation has been broad-based; the labour market has cooled, remains healthy. 
Inflation, labour market 'within striking distance' of Fed's goals.
Recent trends in inflation for housing, other core services 'encouraging,' expect to come down over time.
US economy is 'strong and stable' but there are 'meaningful uncertainties' around outlook.
Spending, economic growth that's stronger than forecast poses upside risk to inflation.
Unwarranted further easing in financial conditions could also push demand out of balance with supply.  
'Neutral' Fed funds rate is uncertain; structural economic changes mean it may be higher than pre-pandemic.
Remain attentive to inflation risks from supply chains, geopolitics, and port strikes.
As labor market has cooled, we face more risk it will cool beyond what is needed to return inflation to 2%.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.