|

Fed's discount rate meeting minutes: Businesses are preparing staff reductions if costs rise

The Federal Reserve's (Fed) discount rate meeting minutes from April 7, 28, and May 8 revealed that policymakers are increasingly uneasy about looming economic impacts, mostly from US trade policy. Despite overall steady economic conditions, tariff uncertainty is continuing to weigh heavily on business operators, who are preparing backup plans and slowing their pace of investment and spending.

Key highlights

Overall, Reserve Bank directors noted considerable uncertainty about the outlook.

While most directors described recent economic conditions as generally stable, they also expressed concern about the potential impact of evolving trade and other policies on economic activity, prices, and employment.

In light of elevated uncertainty, many directors had observed consumers and businesses becoming more cautious about their spending and future plans.

Several directors commented on the expected price pressures related to tariffs, including higher prices for consumers.

Labor market conditions remained healthy, with some directors noting low turnover and limited layoffs.

Some directors said businesses in their districts had indicated future staff reductions might be needed to absorb costs associated with tariffs and reduced government funding in certain sectors.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).