|

Fed's Daly: The time to adjust rates is upon us

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco Mary Daly hit newswires on Monday, cautioning that despite the clear signs of the need for rate adjustments, markets shouldn't run too far, too fast with expectations about the size and frequency.

Key highlights

The time to adjust policy is upon us. It's hard to imagine anything could derail sept rate cut.

I don't want to keep making policy tighter, as inflation comes down.

The labor market is completely in balance.

I am not hearing signs that firms are poised for layoffs.

I don't see signs of abrupt weakening in the labor market.

I don't see warning signs of weakness, but I want to be sure to adjust policy as we go.

It is too early to know how big rate cuts will be.

The most likely outcome is that we continue to get gradual inflation slowing, and a sustainable pace of labor market growth.

It is reasonable to adjust policy at normal cadence if the economy develops as expected.

If the economy weakens more than anticipated, we would need to be more aggressive.

It is reasonable to adjust policy at normal cadence if the economy develops as expected.

If the economy weakens more than anticipated, we would need to be more aggressive.

I do not want to see the labor market weaken further.

We want the labor market to stay about where it is. We need to adjust policy rate to keep it there.

I don't want to declare we are on the path to neutral.

We could see the neutral real rate to be as high as 1%.

We have a long way to go, and even after cutting rates we will be restrictive.

I expect growth to be at or a little below trend.

We are far from declaring victory, but we will get inflation to the goal.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.