|

EUR/USD within range post-PMI, around 1.1640

The single currency keeps the negative tone on Monday following the release of EMU’s PMI, with EUR/USD navigating the lower end of the range around 1.1640/30.

EUR/USD offered on PMI, USD-buying

The renewed albeit tepid recovery in the demand for the greenback is forcing spot to recede from highs near 1.1690 seen during overnight trade to the current 1.1640/30 band.

The down move is reinforced by poor prints from the advanced PMIs in both Germany and the euro bloc for the current month, while France’s results came in mixed.

The ongoing squeeze lower is somewhat expected by market participants in light of the sharp ascent of the pair as of late, overbought levels gauged by the daily RSI and activity in EUR futures markets.

However, the underlying bullish sentiment around EUR also stays underpinned by the positioning front, where net longs kept rising in the week to July 18 as per the latest CFTC report, this time to the highest level since late December 2011.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.20% at 1.1641 facing the immediate support at 1.1523 (10-day sma) followed by 1.1477 (low Jul.20) and finally 1.1442 (21-day sma). On the upside, a breakout of 1.1684 (high Jul.24) would target 1.1713 (monthly high Aug.24) and then 1.1800 (psychological level).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).