|

EUR/USD traders on high alert into the ECB this week

  • EUR/USD trades below the 4-hour 10 & 20 EMA bearish crossover. 
  • The US dollar is finding its form into critical events this week, including the ECB.

EUR/USD is trading in a tight range ahead of the Tokyo open near to 1.1610. EUR/USD fell from 1.1645 to 1.1610 overnight and remains capped by the 4-hour 10/20 EMA bearish crossover. The downside came from the dollar steadying on Monday afternoon after bouncing off a one-month low. Traders now look ahead to key data events for the week ahead, including the European Central Bank meeting this Thursday.

The forex space is being governed by markets that are weighing the prospects of higher interest rates for different currencies. This makes this weeks calendar critical as it may set the stage for many weeks to come. So far, the rebound in the greenback has come at the expense of the euro, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc in the main. 

ECB in focus

For today, bar the Aussie inflation readings, will be a quieter day for economics whereby we will see markets focused on US New Home Sales and a speech by the ECB's Villeroy on Tuesday.  The bigger event, however, will be the ECB that meets this week and comments from the bank could shift views on how many inflationary pressures could impact interest rates.

''Whilst it has signalled that December is the meeting to expect a comprehensive update on post-PEPP plans, the current rise in inflation demands attention,'' analysts at ANZ Bank argued. ''Our analysis estimates inflation will prove more persistent than transitory next year, though we also think that the ECB will push back against expectations of rates rises in 2022.''

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1608
Today Daily Change-0.0037
Today Daily Change %-0.32
Today daily open1.1645
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1604
Daily SMA501.1707
Daily SMA1001.1796
Daily SMA2001.1918
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1656
Previous Daily Low1.1621
Previous Weekly High1.167
Previous Weekly Low1.1572
Previous Monthly High1.1909
Previous Monthly Low1.1563
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1643
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1634
Daily Pivot Point S11.1626
Daily Pivot Point S21.1606
Daily Pivot Point S31.1591
Daily Pivot Point R11.166
Daily Pivot Point R21.1675
Daily Pivot Point R31.1694

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.