|

EUR/USD through 1.0800 handle, hits fresh multi-week tops

The greenback selling pressure remains unabated, lifting the EUR/USD major above the 1.0800 handle to its highest level in nearly 7-weeks. 

Currently trading around 1.0810 region, testing session peaks, the pair's strong up-surge to 7-week tops could be attributed to centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron's strong performance in the first Presidential debate. Macron's strong performance was further reinforced by the OpinonWay poll, which further helped ease concerns over France’s presidential elections and lifted the pair beyond the 1.0800 handle for the first time since early Feb. 

Moreover, persistent bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, despite of yesterday's hawkish comments from a couple of FOMC members, remained supportive for the strong bid tone surrounding the major. 

With no relevant fundamental drivers, in-terms of market moving economic releases, traders would remain focused on speeches from Kansas City Fed's Esther George and Cleveland Fed's Loretta Mester for any immediate respite for the US Dollar bulls. 

Technical levels to watch

Immediate resistance is pegged near 1.0830 region (Feb. 2 high), above which the pair is likely to extend the upward trajectory towards the very important 200-day SMA strong hurdle near the 1.0900 handle. On the flip side, 1.0780-75 area now seems to protect immediate downside, which if broken might trigger a corrective slide back towards 1.0735-30 area. Any further weakness below this support should now be limited and hence, is likely to find strong support near the 1.0700 handle.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.0763
100.0%92.0%50.0%0455055606570758085909510010500.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 50% Bullish
  • 42% Bearish
  • 8% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.0650
100.0%90.0%30.0%03040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 30% Bullish
  • 60% Bearish
  • 10% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.0558
100.0%80.0%15.0%010203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 15% Bullish
  • 65% Bearish
  • 20% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850

EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
 

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold sticks to a negative bias below $5,000; lacks bearish conviction

Gold remains depressed for the second consecutive day and trades below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday, as a positive risk tone is seen undermining safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed keep a lid on the recent US Dollar bounce and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bearish traders ahead of FOMC minutes on Wednesday.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

US CPI is cooling but what about inflation?

The January CPI data give the impression that the Federal Reserve is finally winning the war against inflation. Not only was the data cooler than expected, but it’s also beginning to edge close to the mystical 2 percent target. CBS News called it “the best inflation news we've had in months.”

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.