EUR/USD through 1.0800 handle, hits fresh multi-week tops

The greenback selling pressure remains unabated, lifting the EUR/USD major above the 1.0800 handle to its highest level in nearly 7-weeks. 

Currently trading around 1.0810 region, testing session peaks, the pair's strong up-surge to 7-week tops could be attributed to centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron's strong performance in the first Presidential debate. Macron's strong performance was further reinforced by the OpinonWay poll, which further helped ease concerns over France’s presidential elections and lifted the pair beyond the 1.0800 handle for the first time since early Feb. 

Moreover, persistent bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, despite of yesterday's hawkish comments from a couple of FOMC members, remained supportive for the strong bid tone surrounding the major. 

With no relevant fundamental drivers, in-terms of market moving economic releases, traders would remain focused on speeches from Kansas City Fed's Esther George and Cleveland Fed's Loretta Mester for any immediate respite for the US Dollar bulls. 

Technical levels to watch

Immediate resistance is pegged near 1.0830 region (Feb. 2 high), above which the pair is likely to extend the upward trajectory towards the very important 200-day SMA strong hurdle near the 1.0900 handle. On the flip side, 1.0780-75 area now seems to protect immediate downside, which if broken might trigger a corrective slide back towards 1.0735-30 area. Any further weakness below this support should now be limited and hence, is likely to find strong support near the 1.0700 handle.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.0763
  • 50% Bullish
  • 42% Bearish
  • 8% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.0650
  • 30% Bullish
  • 60% Bearish
  • 10% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.0558
  • 15% Bullish
  • 65% Bearish
  • 20% Sideways
Bias Bearish


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