|

EUR/USD struggles around 1.0880s and tumbles below 1.0800

  • EUR/USD erases its earlier gains, despite registering a 9-month high around 1.0887.
  • Big Tech companies slashing 28K jobs, and weaker US economic data, sparked recession fears.
  • Fed officials support interest rate hikes until 5% or slightly above.

EUR/USD reversed its course after hitting a nine-month high around 1.0887 on Wednesday after US economic data could further cement the case for US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to slow down the pace of tightening. Additionally, the US Dollar (USD) found a bid and erased all of its losses at the time of writing. The EUR/USD exchanges hands at 1.0793, still above its opening price.

US big tech companies cutting jobs, and soft US economic data, weighed on the EUR

Wall Street edged lower as crossing newswires announced that Microsoft and Amazon are set to slash 28K jobs. Therefore, investors’ moods dampened, as earlier US economic data showed signs of deterioration in the US economy. Data released showed that inflation continued to ease, with December’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) sliding to 6.2% YoY, below estimates of 6.8%, while the core PPI advances by 5.5% YoY, beneath 5.7%  forecasts.

In the meantime, US Retail Sales plunged 1.1% MoM in December, below the downward revised November’s figures, which shrank by 1%. However, annually based were unchanged at 6%. Later, Industrial Production decreased by 0.7% MoM and 1.7% in Q4, as reported by the Federal Reserve.

Later, two Fed officials, namely St. Louis Fed President Bullard and Cleveland’s President Loretta Mester, said that the Federal Funds rate (FFR) needs to be at around 5%, at the minimum. Bullard commented that the central bank needs to get “as quickly as we can,” while Mester added that rates need to be above 5%, per her forecasts.

What to watch?

Thursday’s economic calendar in the Eurozone would feature the EU’s Current Account, ECB’s Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, and ECB’s Lagarde speech. Across the pond, the US docker will reveal housing data, the Philadelphia Fed Index, Initial Jobless Claims, and Fed speak.

EUR/USD Key Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0796
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.0794
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0678
Daily SMA501.0533
Daily SMA1001.0206
Daily SMA2001.031
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0869
Previous Daily Low1.0774
Previous Weekly High1.0868
Previous Weekly Low1.0639
Previous Monthly High1.0736
Previous Monthly Low1.0393
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0811
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0833
Daily Pivot Point S11.0756
Daily Pivot Point S21.0718
Daily Pivot Point S31.0661
Daily Pivot Point R11.0851
Daily Pivot Point R21.0908
Daily Pivot Point R31.0946

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid above 1.1700 as risk flows dominate

EUR/USD posts small gains above 1.1700 in early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains broadly subdued amid a risk-on market profile, underpinning the pair. 

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD is clinging to recovery gains near 1.3400 in early Europe on Monday. The pair capitalizes on an upbeat market mood and a steady US Dollar as traders digest the recent

 monetary policy decisions by the Fed and the BoE.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.