|

EUR/USD should stay near current levels next year – ABN Amro

Economists at ABN Amro expect the EUR/USD pair to hover around current levels throughout next year.

EUR/USD to stay in a 1.05-1.10 range in 2025 

For 2024, we expect the same amount of interest rate cuts by the Fed and the ECB. In both cases, our base case calls for more substantial rate cuts than markets currently expect. The difference between our forecasts and market pricing is around the same for both central banks. So, if our views on both Fed and ECB policies play out, EUR/USD should stay near current levels. 

For 2025 we think that the ECB and Fed will continue to ease in 2025 by the same amount. Therefore, we expect EUR/USD to stay in a 1.05-1.10 range waiting for another driver to present itself to cause a more directional move.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks vacillating around 1.1800

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.1800 neighbourhood amid marginal gains at the end of the week. The pair’s tepid move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the irresolute price action in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD slips back to daily lows near 1.3450

GBP/USD trades on the back foot on Friday, adding to Thursday’s losses around the 1.3450 region. Cable’s move lower comes amid the lacklustre performance of the Greenback in a context of a wide spread absence of volatility.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold adds to the ongoing recovery, up for the third day in a row and surpassing the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The relentless uptick in the precious metal remains bolstered by steady geopolitical tensions and persistent uncertainty surrounding the US trade policy.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.