|

EUR/USD should stay near current levels next year – ABN Amro

Economists at ABN Amro expect the EUR/USD pair to hover around current levels throughout next year.

EUR/USD to stay in a 1.05-1.10 range in 2025 

For 2024, we expect the same amount of interest rate cuts by the Fed and the ECB. In both cases, our base case calls for more substantial rate cuts than markets currently expect. The difference between our forecasts and market pricing is around the same for both central banks. So, if our views on both Fed and ECB policies play out, EUR/USD should stay near current levels. 

For 2025 we think that the ECB and Fed will continue to ease in 2025 by the same amount. Therefore, we expect EUR/USD to stay in a 1.05-1.10 range waiting for another driver to present itself to cause a more directional move.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD rises to 0.6950 as USD slips on Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the bounce toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. Fed Chair Warsh's comments reinforce the selling pressure on the US Dollar, allowing the pair to stretch higher. Warsh said that he remains committed to delivering price stability without giving away anything on future interest rate path.

USD/JPY falls in symc with USD, gives up 158.00 after Warsh's speech

USD/JPY has come under fresh selling pressure and gives up 158.00 in the Asian session on Friday amid the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling. Fed Chair Warsh's non-committal commentary on the future tightening path, weighs on the US Dollar and the pair.

Gold bounces back toward $4,200 as Warsh downs USD

Gold has changed course, bouncing back toward $4,200 in the early European morning on Friday, as the US Dollar weakens following Warsh's comments. Warsh stuck to his commitment to delivering price stability, while noting that he won't pre-judge meetings.

Bitcoin holds $80,500; Ethereum rebounds, Ripple weakens

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) show mixed price action on Friday, with BTC and ETH holding above key support levels while XRP struggles below key resistance. Meanwhile, sticky inflation figures have dampened risk appetite, and momentum indicators for these top three cryptocurrencies have also weakened, signaling a risk of a deeper correction if key support fails to hold.

US midterms put fiscal policy under the spotlight, treasury sell-off raises risk
The US will hold its midterm elections - a de facto referendum on the Trump administration - on 3rd November after two years shaped by rising trade protectionism, attacks on Federal Reserve independence and, since the spring, the Iran war. Republicans are expected to take a heavy electoral hit.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.