EUR/USD: Short squeeze – OCBC

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Euro (EUR) rebounded as US Dollar (USD) bulls paused. Pair was last at 1.0575 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

ECB speakers to take over the narrative this week

“Daily momentum remains bearish bias though there are signs of it waning while RSI shows tentative signs of turning higher from near oversold conditions. Falling wedge and inverted hanging man (last Fri) observed. Technical signs suggest EUR bears may be feeling the fatigue and risk of short squeeze/ bullish reversal is not ruled out in the near term. Resistance at 1.06, 1.0740 (21 DMA), 1.0860 (200 DMA). Support at 1.05, 1.0450 levels.”

“This week brings plenty of ECBspeaks (about 26 officials this week), including Lagarde in Frankfurt (Fri). Overnight, Lagarde urged Europe to pool its resources in areas like defence and climate as productivity growth falters and world fragments into rival blocs.”

“Stournaras said that ECB is almost certain to cut interest rates by a quarter point in Dec while Makhlouf said there is no rush to lower rates at a faster pace. Nagel warned that trade tensions can lead to greater inflationary pressures.”

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FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

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EUR/USD remains bid, focus stays on 1.1900

EUR/USD has broken its two-day run of losses and is ticking modestly higher on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1880 area as the US Dollar struggles to find clear direction. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims rose more than expected, taking a bit of shine off the Greenback, but markets are largely in wait-and-see mode ahead of Friday’s US CPI release.

GBP/USD sticks to the bid bias, still below 1.3700

GBP/USD is trading with decent gains around 1.3650 on Thursday. Indeed, Cable is attempting to shake off the weakness seen earlier in the week amid another choppy session for the Greenback, while a run of disappointing UK data has so far failed to derail the pair’s tentative recovery.

Gold recedes slightly, trades below $5,100

Gold remains stuck in choppy trade on Thursday, deflating marginally just below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar drifts without a clear trend. Softer US Treasury yields across the curve are offering some support, but with markets treading carefully ahead of Friday’s US CPI release, conviction remains limited and price action continues to look hesitant.