|

EUR/USD retreats from six-week highs as Greenback steadies after US NFP revision

  • The Euro is losing ground against the US Dollar on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak as the Greenback regains traction.
  • The BLS reported that payrolls were overstated by 911,000 jobs through March 2025, confirming that the labor market has been cooling more sharply than previously reported.
  • Investors are awaiting comments from ECB Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau, who is scheduled to speak later on Tuesday.

The Euro (EUR) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with EUR/USD snapping a two-day winning streak as the Greenback found renewed demand in the wake of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) benchmark revision. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1730, retreating from its strongest level since July 24 reached earlier in the day, and is down nearly 0.30% so far.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported its preliminary annual benchmark revision, showing payrolls were overstated by 911,000 jobs through March 2025, equivalent to a 0.6% downward adjustment. The revision underscores that the labor market has been cooling more sharply than previously reported, adding weight to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates at its September 16-17 meeting. While the data reinforces the dovish case, the fact that such weakness was widely anticipated prompted a wave of US Dollar short-covering, lifting the Greenback from seven-week lows.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, is staging a modest recovery after falling to its lowest level in seven weeks earlier in the session. At the time of writing, the index is trading around 97.60, though it remains under pressure from a dovish Fed outlook, with markets expecting the central bank to prioritize maximum employment over price stability within its dual mandate, given that monetary policy is still moderately restrictive.

On the European side, sentiment remains clouded by political risk after French Prime Minister François Bayrou lost a parliamentary confidence vote on Monday, forcing his resignation. Investors are also turning their attention to comments from European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau, who is scheduled to speak later on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, in the US, attention shifts to inflation data with the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday and Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday, both seen as pivotal ahead of next week’s Fed decision.

Economic Indicator

ECB's Villeroy speech

François de Villeroy de Galhau is the Governor of the Banque de France since 2015 and a voting member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank, which makes monetary policy decisions for the whole Eurozone.

Read more.

Next release: Tue Sep 09, 2025 15:15

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Banque de France

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold rebounds firmly as China Treasuries-buying report smashes US yields

Gold stages a solid comeback from weekly lows, retakes $4,150 early Thursday. US Dollar declines sharply alongside Treasury yields on China’s bond-buying report. Technically, the daily RSI remains bearish and a headwind for Gold buyers.

Bitcoin falls on hot CPI: Why $80,000 support matters

Bitcoin's (BTC) most critical level to watch is near $80,000 as September's hot inflation reading pressures the crypto market, according to Glassnode. The top crypto declined within minutes of the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which showed a 3.7% annual increase in headline inflation, above forecasts of 3.6%. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, came in at 2.6%.

China seems routing US Treasury holdings through Canada

According to a Bloomberg report, China seems to be moving United States securities to non-US custodian banks in other countries, masking its role in financing US deficits.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?